I was looking at those costs think wow, that is high.

Then I realized I was spending 3600.00 USD for Anthropic and OpenAI per year.

I would say paying 50,000 USD per year for tokens to double productivity is cheap.

And hopefully they are just paying that per developer, not per employee.

No kidding. As a small employer I expect to be spending $200 a month so each employee can have an OAI or Claude 20x sub, or else spend it on the Chinese prepaid tokens of their choice.

Fun, thx for sharing

But I love the smell of freshly carved wood, you would miss out on that.

You can buy cedar-scented air fresheners on Amazon. Isn't buying a wooden dresser and an air freshener enough to rekindle the love of your calling? Look, the sides of the dresser are CNC-milled to a level of perfection you could never achieve at home.

I agree dream bigger!

If it gets done too fast with LLM you need to think bigger.

If ONLY I had know to buy 16 GB of VRam on my cards. I have 12, but they struggle.

Hell if I had know that a 5090 would be worth 6000 USD I would have brought as many of them as I could for 2000 USD!

You think Factorio its self is bad? Try the Space Exploration mod! It expands the game with a ton of fun new problems.

I prefer Astra for creative uses, Fable seems better for hardcore coding.

Whoa, I'm exactly the opposite.

Almost as if evaluating models is mostly astrology as this point.

Well, if you have a clearly defined task it's easy. When using them for my pipeline of writing explanations for Chinese words I have clear ranking, for example - opus 5.5 clearly better than opus 5 at writing and knowing details, annoying nit picker when it comes to finding errors (high accuracy, low usefulness) all in repeatable numbers on different datasets. The problem is that these models are most useful when you are facing a new task that you haven't encountered before. And yup then it's astrology.

I find that Fable still makes the best orchestrator model. Astra is great for code reviews, it is very eager to find flaws. Cheaper models can handle the actual coding - you want to do a review either way at the end.

Anthropic is reporting 100 Billion ARR.

Even if you could get a frontier model, you would not be able to run it on any Mac. So speculating on what M7 or M9 will achieve in 5 years (if we even still exist) seems pointless.

Do you need a frontier model to write emails, check your calendar, search the web?

I don’t think Apple is going to lie down and cede AI to the cloud.

> Do you need a frontier model to write emails, check your calendar, search the web?

How about writing mail to President and senators on AI doomsday scenario if frontier labs do not pace themselves?

That mini model on mac mini would scared to hell to do such thing. It need that rugged frontier model to speak truth to power.

True, but do you need a 10,000 dollar machine to do so?

I would love to find an excuse to buy a 10,000 dollar machine! But I cant find one yet. My current cloud bill is in excess of 400 USD per month. Just can't achieve frontier model capabilities locally.

I think in 5 years (aka before OpenAI can pay off all its debt) a lot of AI will be running on your iPhone

People thought that 5 years ago, too. OpenAI has competitors to worry about, but Apple isn't one of them.