It's rather obvious Zvi is biased if you consider the totality of his work on China (since Covid to the current AI boom), not only because of his statement of facts or his policy positions but rather his writing style, which betrays his view the Chinese are somehow not only technologically but morally inferior. And he expresses them with an emotional valence similar to his treatment of Trump.
They call themselves rationalists but they don't apply their own theories, they think permanent authoritarianism is as bad as human extinction. It's a predictable offshoot from their own west coast US ideological origins.
Uploaded my code base and it forced switched to Opus 4.8 after thinking for 5 minutes even though I prompted it to not work on cybersecurity related things. Amazing.
“Large frontier developer”: a frontier developer that together with its affiliates collectively had annual gross revenues in excess of five hundred million dollars ($500,000,000) in the preceding calendar year.
So any large company training LLMs, no matter the capability, is considered a frontier developer?
No way. I read Noah Smith (number 1 economist on substack) every week and he says one must measure China in per capita terms for all the good stuff: GDP (preferably nominal), and in aggregate terms for all the bad stuff (pollution, carbon dioxide emissions).
Also, it's logically impossible for China to be good. I have found a mathematical proof:
You did a logical fallacy which is called “denying the antecedent.” From your first two propositions, it doesn’t follow that anything that isn’t a democracy isn’t good.
TBH Jordan paid his dues in PRC, did great interviews with interesting people. But TFW he is still... literally brain injury / damaged and now in Washington and seems to be doing more policy/analysis work.