This is something that’s hard for someone like me to know (living outside India and no experience in setting up a business in India)
Does it make a difference if same party is in power in center and state?
The general consensus I see is that it doesn’t make such a big difference (everyone compares to Gujarat which is reaping the benefits of good admin over last 20 years). Current states have a lot of rot to remove and any EoDB efforts won’t be apparent. Is this a correct understanding of the situation?
I'm not too familiar with India either, but I figured that if the same party were in power in Maharasthra, then they would be able to apply pressure to the civil servants who were witholding their signatures (perhaps in exchange for non traceable Electoral Bond purchases)
Also, India has a unique federal structure where states can override central laws.
Override union laws ? Do you have examples of that ? You mean ignore them ? Ignoring laws , orders has happened and either the union government has not sued the state for various reasons or cases are still sitting in court.
There are some powers in the shared list , where the state can specify its own rules etc.
Over time it’s trending towards union control for example removing VAT and replacing with GST etc
Not too much difference on a transaction level, policy level perhaps , there may be contradictory rules etc.
Delhi has notably had lot of challenges because of different governments , but Delhi administration is not typical state government, it is like Washington DC , there are special provisions as it is the capital region
To a first approximation, I'm inclined to agree with this reasoning. The main point of minimum wage (in the US) was to back-stop a buyer's market for labor from leading to mass deprivation among American workers. If UBI can guarantee a dignified minimum standard of living, minimum wage becomes redundant.
Hell, in a world of UBI, I'd anticipate volunteer organizations to flourish.
Next would be, are they up for removal of all subsidies / free programs (e.g., SNAP / food stamps)?
How can health care costs be addressed with fixed UBI?
I can see UBI succeeding or at least not failing in countries like Canada since healthcare costs are zero for individuals, no matter how poor or moneyless they are.
Without having a similar Healthcare system, how can UBI be even implemented?
Ps: I’m neither strongly for/against UBI yet, but curious to see how it can solve the problem. I just have a lot of unanswered questions when asking them to UBI supporters.
Social safety nets were designed to keep society from unraveling when desperate people take to the streets in the endless boom-bust cycle of capitalism.
Many of the wealthiest countries in the world have found it economically more desirable than the alternative even when you ignore the ethics
You can't pay for UBI without taxing wages (well everyone's taxes 'cause how you going to pay for it?), so actually the best scenario would be a higher minimum wage than now, plus UBI. Removing minimum wage but just providing UBI would be particularly crippling to the poor who already now have little hope on moving up financially.
I could get behind that. Again, though, UBI is sort of a fantasy legislation for neoliberal wonks to argue about. It's not relevant to the current situation, really, at all. There's no way to make that kind of bureaucratic change on the kind of schedule we're forced into at all. It only seems simple to software geeks in HN threads.
You know people said the same thing about social security, and on a more recent note... desegregation and the end of Jim Crow.
Change always seems fast and overwhelming until it’s done, then we realize that support for it had been growing bit by bit, and all that was left was that final leap.
Even if the UBI is impossible to attain tomorrow, we should still lobby for it so it will be attainable someday.
Have you thought about the psychological impact of what you’re describing? Why would someone work 40 hours a week to earn $2680 a month when they can earn $2600 a month sitting on their couch and playing video games?
Right now there is an incredible power imbalance between employers and employees, where for the employer it's an inconvenience if they lose the employee, while for the employee it's loss of access to food, shelter and medicine if they lose their employer.
This means that the employer can squeeze the employee, allowing them to pile on with abusive working conditions, bad pay, and poor compensation. Lots of workplaces outright steal out of the paychecks for the employees in plain daylight and get away with it because the employee knows that if they raise a fuss they might get fired.
Nobody would work for 1 dollar an hour, as you say. So companies will have to offer more to attract workers. And the workers have the option of saying "no" if what they offer just isn't good enough. So they would be two equal parties, bargaining over what the labor is worth, without neither having a gun pushed against their head if they say "no".
Weirdly, a lot of people seem to think things are as they should be. People should starve and be homeless if they aren't willing to work under unsafe condition, or being blackmailed into working for bottom wages just to have food to eat tomorrow. I'm not a fan of that sort of Social Darwinism though.
Yes! With a robust, livable UBI, even without a minimum wage, you wouldn't see $2/hr jobs. Can you think of a job you'd personally take for an extra $2/hr if your needs were already being met by UBI? Wages would have to be set to a level that incentivize working. Shitty jobs would actually have to pay more than fun or easy jobs, because "not taking the job" is always a realistic option.
> Can you think of a job you'd personally take for an extra $2/hr if your needs were already being met by UBI?
Yes, if it prepared you for better jobs. Low wage dead-end jobs might not exist (then again, they might, different people have different utility functions), but low-wage on-ramp jobs that cannot exist now certainly would.
They wouldn't. They might work 40 hours a week because they believe in the cause; I know people who are independently wealthy or otherwise not in need of paid employment who put that time in for volunteer projects.
People are downvoting this, but I think you point to a real problem.
Yes, people are generally good and want to do meaningful things and contribute to society. But we're also lazy, selfish, and good at convincing ourselves to make short-term choices with poor long-term consequences.
I think with UBI, there would be a whole lot of couch potatoes. I don't think that's necessarily morally a bad thing, but if the ratio of couch potatoes to people producing economic activity that pays into the UBI fund is bad enough, it can make UBI simply economically unsustainable whether you think it's a moral good or not.
So there is a balance between:
A. Keeping UBI low enough to incentivize people to produce labor such that UBI is financial self-sustaining.
B. Keeping UBI high enough that people who do not work are not destitute.
I think fans of UBI have a tacit assumption that A is well above B, but I am not so certain.
Your figures are wrong. If they worked (and received UBI, because that's what UBI means), their monthly income would be $5280 vs. $2600 for playing video games.
Trump hates universities. So he’ll do anything to ensure universities are on life support. This is a great way for him to bring the uncertainties to follow his orders.
I refuse to use any of these delivery apps, which are kind of useless already.
Here in Toronto area, most of the big food outlets are closed, because they are not able to get workers.
The ones that are open, are these mom&pop restaurants, that run on a skeletal workforce.
So with fewer restaurants operating, and delivery apps having a limited radius for delivery, I'd rather go and get the order myself, and let the neighborhood restaurer keep more of the money I give instead of losing 30%-40% of the amount as commission (I tip on top of it even though it's a pickup).
I'll use delivery apps only if:
- They charge the restaurant less than 5% total fees
- They charge me 5% - 10% for delivery and processing fees whatever (lets say a minimum of $5 or $10, whichever is higher).
Problem is at this rate, Uber Eats or Door Dash or GrubHub wont survive.
I understand using these apps is more of a necessity if you have kids and larger number of people at home. But this is not for me.
Uber drivers who got cars on subprime loans cannot survive with deliveries only. I'm curious to how they'll get through this storm. At least in this case, Uber has fewer liabilities (all head ache borne by the driver).
How does anyone expect food delivery services to survive with only 5% fees? That's insanity. Uber has to also pay for engineers, sales/marketing to get customers/restaurants onto the platform, online infrastructure, customer service for both sides of the market, etc.
Delivery is expensive. It's time-consuming, and customers are rarely willing to pay the true cost of it.
Most of the restaurant delivery services were bleeding hundreds of millions of dollars last year. They've had a resurgence because of the Covid-19 but that's a blip compared to a normal situation.
If people think it doesn't cost that much money to operate, then all restaurants shouldn't have a problem having their own delivery service.
Maybe food delivery services isn't solvable using the Silicon Valley method -- use insane amounts of rich people's money to subsidize product hyper-growth to only later monopolize said market to re-coop earlier losses.
If these businesses would grow more sustainably (i.e. slower), they wouldn't need such large sums of money to operate. They wouldn't over hire at sales / marketing / engineering / design / operations/ literally every role. In turn, they would be forced to set rates that can cover their actual costs while being a good business deal for restaurants, as they'd have to be around long enough for the delivery company to have any real growth.
There should be economies of scale wrt. a centralized delivery platform that services all kinds of restaurants. The fact that, say, Dominos has been offering delivery for _decades_ means that it's absolutely possible to have a sustainable national food delivery business on $8 medium pizza deals and $4 delivery charges. The tech delivery companies are just plain greedy: I surmise it's their quest for "f u" money that kills their business model right off the bat.
I'd counter that Pizza hut has a key logistical advantage of vertical integration. A delivery service is a very different business than a restaurant chain that does its own delivery.
I agree that GrubHub, Doordash, and to some extent Uber seem bloated when considering the sum total of the markets they play in. That doesn't mean these business models aren't sustainable, though. Some companies allocate resources to a few areas that turn into profit centers, some don't. The ones that don't will be sold off or parted out. And the cycle will continue. I'd wager that one of these companies will survive and turn out to be a profitable, healthy business in the next few years. The rest will probably be sold off or slowly downsized.
More broadly, to your criticism of SV's investment strategy, resource allocation is a hard problem. If you want to direct large sums of capital at certain business verticals, do you want to grow slowly and steadily over a 20+ year period only to find that the economics don't work, or do you want to fail fast with some extra waste in the middle? Failing fast has some upside to it, though I understand why I consistently hear this criticism on this site. It feels like the last decade has seen the pendulum swing towards fast money and back a little. I don't think were as far off from a healthy middle ground as some might argue.
> If you want to direct large sums of capital at certain business verticals, do you want to grow slowly and steadily over a 20+ year period only to find that the economics don't work, or do you want to fail fast with some extra waste in the middle?
Maybe we'll eventually learn that artificially forcing business models to run at accelerated rates creates self-fulfilling prophecies of "fail fast."
Well, no, because for each VC portfolio, it's either profitable off the survivors, or it isn't.
The point is that from the perspective of investors, the survival of an individual startup is an irrelevant metric. What they're interested in is the profitability of the whole portfolio.
And so far, a 90% failure rate with <5% wild success is a profitable formula. As long as that remains true, they have no reason to change it.
Literally every single company in the top 6 of the S&P 500 was financed via private VC-style funding at the beginning.
Whether the numbers crept into the billions when the company was private or public is irrelevant. The point is that for a company to reach scale, they need billions in funding from somewhere.
Somebody has to take the risk, and all investors want returns for that risk. Public market growth investors want rapidly growing companies just as VC investors do.
None of the top six companies were funded by billions of dollars that were lit on fire like today’s companies.
The early companies like Apple and Microsoft were started with a few million not even a billion in today’s dollars. As I said earlier, Microsoft didn’t even need the later rounds of funding and wanted to bring expertise on board.
The only one of the current top tech companies that weren’t GAAP profitable at IPO is Amazon and even it used its own operating cash to fund growth.
One would assume that there are different styles of VC-style funding, with different time horizons. My original point isn't disputing the need for the existence of VCs in some funding cases- I'm not DHH arguing that every startup needs to bootstrap- my point is that this cycle has shown that VCs pumping in dumb money while chasing unrealistic fast returns has led to self-fulfilling failures, and a toxic culture that promotes that. The original statement:
> do you want to grow slowly and steadily over a 20+ year period only to find that the economics don't work, or do you want to fail fast with some extra waste in the middle
Seems highly dubious because you can take a perfectly fine business model and create an unattainable, doomed-to-fail situation out of it by subjecting it to unrealistic expectations, as we have seen in dozens of examples from the current bubble. Stress testing is not useful if it sets artificial pressures that destroys the business.
Are we talking about investment strategy or cherry picking data for the sake of arguing?
1. There are plenty of companies on the path to IPO that didn't take 1B+ in VC money
2. The "sharing" platforms are expensive investments because there are so many players fighting for market share.
We're talking about a strategy of fast growth vs slow and steady. All the companies we've mentioned so far invested in fast growth early on, whether from VC or reinvestment.
I’m not cherry picking data. Look at the top profitable tech companies today and compare the amount of money invested in them before they became profitable to the Uber and Lyft’s of today.
Amazon is the outlier when it comes to the lack of GAAP profitability for years, but even it was cash flow positive.
That's a false dichotomy. We're also talking about rates of fast growth vs. unrealistic hyper-growth. I'd argue that as the current tech bubble inflates, we've leaned towards the latter. [0]
Let's leave it at this then: if capital is completely miss-allocated and a bubble has been inflating over the last 5-10 years as you claim, then we'll hear the proverbial pop in the next three to six months as a rapid pullback in consumer spending unwinds nearly all VC backed growth stage companies.
Congrats, we're already in the early stages of the pop. But I'm also not claiming that capital is completely misallocated, that's another all-or-nothing false dichotomy on your part. I'm saying that the current VC climate has been dominated by a toxic culture of chasing hyper-growth in many inappropriate cases, killing companies that otherwise have fine business models by subjecting them to stressful expectations. You can take a strategy that works in some cases and apply it in a wasteful, unrealistic way. That is called a cargo cult. Even before this virus crisis we saw earlier this year and last year companies in the SoftBank portfolio experiencing layoffs in the fallout of WeWork's demise. Onwards, not "nearly all VC backed growth stage companies" will be unwound, but the ones funded under the most reckless of terms will be in grave risk. If you haven't seen the bubble popping, you haven't been paying attention.
I'm not sure what you're getting at. Here are the facts: Companies following these accelerated growth trajectories now make up a total of 4 trillion in market capitalization depending on how you count it. That's really just the FAANGs, not the smaller companies that are profitable or on the road to profitability [1]. If you count everything you can safely say the number is closer to 8 trillion.
Every year, VC in the US _as a whole_ invests roughly 100B [2]. If you cut out non-growth and non-tech sectors I'd guess that number total goes to around 40B, and roughly 100B (very rough number) globally.
So yeah, some money gets "wasted" but it creates huge market capitalizations that are around two full orders of magnitude larger than a single years investment, and growing strong year over year.
Netflix started in the original dot-com bubble as a DVD rental service, and only began streaming in 2007, a decade after they were founded. Reed Hastings put up $2.5 million himself. Not exactly a case of rapid illusory hypergrowth like the poster children unicorns of the current gig/sharing economy dot-com bubble.
None of these companies had to deal with the current investment environment. It's an arms race. While it's a chicken and the egg issue since both Facebook and Google provide virality and discovery, respectively, and it is those two features, virality and discovery that lead to a positive return on investment from blitzscaling.
Besides discovery and virality, there is also the issue of falling transaction costs. When Google, Facebook and Amazon were founded, you had to maintain your own datacenters and infrastructure. That alone produced a massive barrier to entry that made competition less fierce. Since the advent of AWS and other cloud computing platforms, transactions costs for tech companies have dropped dramatically so you can't rely on infrastructure prowess as a competitive advantage for many tech verticals.
You simply can't compare companies that were born and matured in different markets with different dynamics to those founded in the past 10-15 years. It's apples and oranges.
Becoming a massively profitable megacorp isn't the only winning formula.
Were Linkedin, Instagram, Beats by Dre, WhatsApp, Tableau, Skype, GitHub, MuleSoft all failures because they were acquired for billions, making lucrative paydays for their founders and investors?
You missed the other part of the equation. No one said that all VC money was dumb. The conversation is about billions of funding going down the drain like in the case of Uber compared to the paltry sum inflation adjusted raised by the tech behemoths before they went public and became profitable.
Beats by Dre raised less than $1 billion in funding.
Netflix - created in 1997 with profit from selling Reed Hasting previous company. They IPOed 5 years later in 2002 don't see anything about VC money. Could be some but definitely not the Softbank model back then.
There were two changes in the "Softbank model" -- first was investing at this scale without a real network effect or any sort of "moat," and the other was just the sheer speed of the investment -- an avalanche instead of a snowball. A company like WeWork doesn't have any real reason that it needs to grow hyper-fast -- it's a Ben and Jerry's.
Doordash tried that, with Doordash Kitchens. Don't know why, but their pseudo-restaurants in Redwood City, such as Rooster and Rice, have dropped off the Doordash site.
The traditional silicon valley approach would be to fund new ways of doing delivery. And behind the most click-worthy headlines, that is what is happening! [1].
I also don't think that food delivery is something that needs to happen at a global scale. The market is local enough that you can have one player for every city or region that can grow organically, charge lower rates, and be beneficial for everyone involved.
>Maybe food delivery services isn't solvable using the Silicon Valley method -- use insane amounts of rich people's money to subsidize product hyper-growth to only later monopolize said market to re-coop earlier losses.
I tend to agree, and also because I don't think food delivery can be easily decoupled from the preparation (for ready-to-eat orders). I mean, restaurants have done it profitably for ages, but whenever one of these SV companies tries it, I hear all kinds of stories about how, unless everything goes right, the whole process becomes tedious an frustrating.
Like, the order's wrong, and it has to restart through Uber's whole system. And the runners can't look inside to verify the order because (legitimate) health regulations. And it just ends with an unsatisfied customer who has some credit on the app.
But I do think there is a way to SV-ize food delivery, like if they could get economies of scale to work for food delivery. Imagine this:
A restaurant knows at least one customer needs their dish to start prep at 5:30pm. The website indicates they're starting one then anyway, so you get a discount for ordering the same food to start at the same time.
Meals can be batched easily -- it costs them much less than N times to scale up the order to N servings or customers.
Ditto for (in urban areas) delivering to the same building or block. If they only have to stop once, they can offer a discount to anyone ordering the same thing in the same building.
This is exactly the kind of thing where it pays to be a broad platform that everyone's on, and has kinds of monopoly profits, and provides legit consumer value.
(Disclaimer: I registered a domain name suitable for this kind of service but haven't otherwise advanced it.)
I was an Uber/Lyft driver, and I tried delivery a couple times way back before covid-19. One pickup was 5 identical, unlabeled containers, two of which were special orders. Having worked in restaurants before, there was no way in hell I wasn't going to visually check them (also I don't recall this being prohibited before). Turns out, one was wrong-- so the other 4 got cold while that one was re-made and I sat for 20 minutes. All told, it took me 45 minutes to bring mostly cold food to an unhappy person and I made about $4. Not. Sustainable.
It sounds like you have some good ideas and are thinking in the right direction, though. Streamlining your whole operation to minimize the possibility of errors and reduce wait times is one of the most important things to focus on in my book. Give people fewer choices.
Choice B is not actually an option if you want to change human behavior and actually benefit from economies of scale. This is because of the nature of competition and the power of habit. If it takes you 20 years to go national, then competitors will have cemented themselves in each region you try to operate.
And because humans are creatures of habit, it will be ridiculously expensive to get them to change their behavior even if you offer a comparatively better service.
> Choice B is not actually an option if you want to change human behavior and actually benefit from economies of scale.
But there's little or no economies of scale in the delivery business. A citywide delivery service would be equally efficient whether operated by a local company or a multinational. The local company may even have an advantage in terms of knowing their customers better. The only economy of scale I see is access to cheap VC capital.
The Bay Area’s dual refusal of housing and transportation made the delivery apps necessary in the first place, so I agree it may not be a great place to look for a solution. If housing and retail space were more abundant there would be more options within my immediate area, and if transportation were better my “area” would be even larger than it is now with what’s comfortable to reach on foot.
Dominos is arguably quite a bit larger than the mom & pop restaurant I did delivery for, but... for us it was break-even or a very tiny loss. I don't remember exactly the number, but delivery was $5; $5 charged to the customer, $5 paid to the driver. I think it was waived for large orders (>$100?), but those were pretty rare. Tips were all for the driver as well. On a good night, you could make $20-30/hr; on a holiday night (New Year's Eve was my favourite), it'd be more like $40-$50 once you factor in the tips.
Was it overall a living wage as a sole source of income? No, not at all. There was usually only a small window every day when people actually wanted delivery. Was it good money for the number of hours worked? Sixteen year-old me sure thought so!
No, it's not. The most you can charge for a soda is $3 around here. Even if you make 95% profit ($2.85), pretty much every single food item will make far more profit. A $12 salad will net you $9, a $15 dollar pasta will probably net you $12, a $40 steak will net you $20, and so on.
Gross profit matters far more than profit margin. Also the best way to be profitable is to increase sales relative to fixed costs, rather than trying to squeeze every dime out of limited sales.
Dominos is famous for charging more for delivery than for takeaway. Their "$4 delivery" is no more accurate to the true cost of delivering a pizza than the "delivery fee" of their competitors.
Pizza parlors and Chinese restaurants have successfully been delivering food for decades with their own delivery staff.
It's only the Silicon Valley delivery services that are unable to profit from delivery, because they insist on paying executives and engineers 6+ figures when all of the value is in the delivery drivers, not the wasteful overhead.
This. I have a family member who runs a restaurant and employs his own delivery drivers, and has been profitable for decades. He lists food on GruHub as well, but charges all of the markup through to the customer. He includes a flyer with the delivery that says in large text "We have our own drivers! Call us with your order and save 20% compared to GrubHub!"
I'm not sure what the big deal is in calling if I'm just calling in to order a pizza or a sub.
That aside, at least part of the value of the aggregators is a lot of people apparently want to just go to one place and order from a variety of restaurants. Personally, I don't really get it--I just have menus from the very limited number of decent takeout options around where I live--but setting up your own site doesn't help with that.
> I'm not sure what the big deal is in calling if I'm just calling in to order a pizza or a sub.
Because the dude answering the phone has a non-zero probability of being completely stoned off his ass. This is not theoretical. I am sad that we didn't record the worst one we ever had--it would have made for the absolute best YouTube video even though everyone would have been saying "That's so fake."
Phone orders are very error prone. Online orders help both sides of the equation. The customer knows exactly what they are getting and can verify it; the restaurant can say "We're happy to comp you for X because we're nice people, BUT this is the receipt THAT YOU ACKNOWLEDGED saying what you actually ordered."
Because I have no desire to talk to anyone on the phone for any reason. if I could get a personal data device with out phone calling capabilities I would choose that. The POTS phone system needs to be relegated to the dust bin of history
The flip side of that as well, is often you can successfully up sell more items via an online system than you can with a phone order system. The number of times I have "add on" to my order due to the online system having options I did not even know was available is a lot higher than the normal "would you like to add" speech that the phone person gives you which is neither compelling and almost an automatic no as most people do not even pay attention to the offer
>if I'm just calling in to order a pizza or a sub.
The number of times Humans have got my order wrong when talking them over the phone is High... the number of times the computer has gotten my order wrong with submitting it electronic is almost zero
>I just have menus from the very limited number of decent takeout options around where I live--but setting up your own site doesn't help with that.
I would love to see your data on where you believe having having your own website with electronic menus do not help
Hell even outside of COVID, if a place does not have their menu online I will not even go to it physically, I like to look at the menu's and prices before even stepping foot in the place. Gives me a good idea on if I will like it or not.
It should be standard for a place to have an electronic menu with online take out ordering, anything less is subpar IMO
In LA at least, I can get Indian, Mexican, and Thai food delivered as well. And salads, if I really want to waste my money. In call cases, deliveries are by the restaurants own delivery staff.
And higher-end restaurants generally don't deliver at all, on any delivery service* because the quality of the food can be diminished during transit. Some have made exceptions during the COVID19 lockdowns, and some have simply closed down for the duration.
Not all food fits into the delivery model, burgers will get soggy, toasted sandwiches will get will get cold, salad will be cooked by the warm ingredients, ice cream will melt. For the most part if a food is good delivered then there were already restaurants offering delivery of it.
I'm not sure that works as an explanation, because Pizza Hut executives are pretty well compensated too, and their app also shows all the signs of being overengineered (or rather, over rockstar ninja'd).
I think it's more of an issue of the (ready-to-eat) food production and delivery being too highly coupled for a third party to bolt on a profitable service, as in my other comment:
Restaurants are outsourcing the delivery to these companies. Many of the restaurants near me never offered delivery until Grubhub, Uber Eats, etc. allowed them to at little cost. The reason they didn't offer delivery before these options is exactly because of the economics of doing so.
It may turn out that the economics of the technology-middle-man aren't sustainable either. In which case they will have to decide between managing deliveries in-house or stopping deliveries.
My local restaurant has a couple of employees who own old beater cars. I call the restaurant, then they send out one of these employees with the food. The restaurant charges nothing extra beyond the tip, which I select on arrival.
This is how delivery used to work. The lie and promise of the startups trying to "disrupt" this is that it's somehow going to be better to proxy these interactions through a faceless megacorp rather than a small local business.
Well, is that really happening? If I use Uber Eats I get more expensive, worse service than calling my local place directly.
So maybe these delivery businesses shouldn't survive, at least not as currently envisioned, because they offer something that doesn't actually have that much value to most people.
It's funny, when I was a teenager I delivered Pizzas for a small local chain.
I'm pretty sure I made more money and service was faster; the delivery fees would a lot cheaper (though hard to mentally adjust with inflation in mind though)
Like I'd just relax at the restaurant, chat with the other drivers/cooks/servers until 3-4 orders were up and head out.. it was pretty nice
Now instead of things being mostly locally owned it's all consolidated, impersonal (I got to know the managers, the owner, other workers, slower and much more expensive.
prices are also so high I can barely leave a 'great' tip
it's hard for me to think of the most of these delivery companies as anything but vultures that just ended up injecting themselves into a business and reduce the quality of some folks working lives
a big part of me wouldn't mind some economic upheaval just to undo our mistakes
A reasonable request! And if that's the primary value add of these services, I would suggest that a traditional non-unicorn SaaS company[0] could provide a very inexpensive web portal for restaurants that handles order processing, while leaving the logistics to the restaurant.
Something as simple sounding as a menu can be surprisingly complex.
A local burger place's burger has, I just worked out, 34,832,528,367,943,700 possible combinations. Some options are mututally exclusive, some add an extra charge. Etc.
Hilariously that's not even part of the equation - both uber eats and skip the dishes (a canadian local company) have terrible UIs.
I do love ordering via the internet without having to talk to people though... the best time I've ever seen this done was through a local VT pizza shop and the UI was pretty much just an HTML form and it was so incredibly easy to use.
That's entirely the reason Pizza 73 became my goto pizza place - it rolled out online delivery in the mid 2000's and kept me from ever having to phone again.
You know back in the days you can also go to farmer Joe and buy a chicken and pay no middle man. Jumping from that fact to the conclusion that food supply chain has not much value is, naive, to say the least.
His argument seems to be that unlike supermarkets and wholesalers which provide positive value from which some profit can be siphoned off, delivery megacorps provide negative value so there's not much profit to siphon.
Your argument seems to be that food middlemen should exist in some form, although you provide no reason; However, the existence and fetishization (for better or worse) of "local farmers markets" seems to point in the opposite direction.
My local pizza place delivers; there doesn't seem much room to create value to pay some engineer's salary and some VC profits a thousand miles away. Or rephrased, VCs and engineers are expensive, and their offerings can be undercut by every local restaurant in the country that has a phone and a teenager with a car, which is not exactly the strongest network effect or vendor lockin I've ever seen in a marketplace.
The delivery market seems to be of the form "We all need an offering in the market to stay competitive with everyone else losing money on every delivery".
The best possible exit for a delivery startup seems to be improving something in the already adequate infrastructure then pray Dominos Pizza acquires them.
The uphill battle is the main complaints people have about fast food is the cost is high, few choices, and the food is unhealthy. Nobody seems bothered by logistics problems like pizza taking a half hour to arrive or routes not being optimized to minimize gasoline consumption. Its true that customers are bad product designers, thinking of the anecdote of Ford's customers wanting a better horse, not a model T. However a business model of door to door horse feed delivery, logistics optimized by telegraphs in California, was also not a winner.
It's obvious there is value, otherwise these companies wouldn't exist, no matter how much VC money is pumped in.
For consumers:
Ability to order from multiple restaurants through one consistent interface / payment flow. This cannot be undercut by every restaurant with a phone and a teenager with a car.
For restaurants:
A marketing / lead generation avenue that provides, ideally, incremental volume that is profitable. If it was not profitable, then they wouldn't do it, obviously.
Delivery itself, is just a method to deliver these value adds.
The argument can be made whether this value is worth a tech infrastructure and the human labor cost of delivery. It might be worth it in China, where delivery is actually more ubiquitous, but in America, where worker compensation / expectation / norms are higher, its debatable.
> It's obvious there is value, otherwise these companies wouldn't exist, no matter how much VC money is pumped in.
Would you say this about WeWork a year ago? VC-style central planning has had a great distorting effect on the supply/demand information function of the market.
Oh I think there was some value in WeWork. OfficeSpace-as-a-Service that was hipper than Regus and offered consistency across many cities. But obviously far less value than the money being pumped into WeWork would suggest.
You should add increased number of options there as well. I know there's a ton of resturaunts near me that didn't care to get into the delivery business but had no problem working with a delivery company like uber eats. This may be a much smaller niche though as I'm paid enough that the time savings I get from delivery are worth the extra 20-30% I pay from going to pick it up myself
> Uber has to also pay for engineers, sales/marketing to get customers/restaurants onto the platform
I really wonder how much of this is a self-created problem. Would Uber really need that many engineers if it wasn't processing data at a massive scale to find the ideal surge price for every trip and maximize revenue? Maybe Uber would make less money without surge pricing (and the large scale data crunching it involves), but then maybe Uber also wouldn't need to pay for so many engineers.
Similarly, would Uber really need to pay for marketing if it attracted growth organically instead of trying to dominate the world within half a decade?
We live in rather strange time for business. It used to be that if you wanted to build a $100B company, you spent decades in the trenches, reinvesting profits and attracting growth organically.
Even a true "unicorn" (not that I care much for that term) like Microsoft was worth "only" $35B in 1995, 20 years after it was founded.
We've all somehow assumed that this order of things is natural when it is far from how the rest of the business world functions
> I really wonder how much of this is a self-created problem
It's part of the overfunding game: you can't just take the money and go "yay, 300 years of runtime because we stay lean". Investment is meant to be spent. Burning it all purely on buying market would also be a little too transparent, investors want to believe that they are getting more than that and they need others to believe that as well should they ever desire for greater fools.
But once you add an army of well paid talent to the mix it gets much easier to claim that there's more to your growth than buying market. Even if all they do is cosplay unassailable technological lead.
Delivery apps have a vastly higher overhead because the drivers are not based out of a single high volume restaurant.
With traditional deliveries operating over a tiny radius back to base. Drivers can do multiple deliveries at the same time. Pick up a new stack of orders and quickly be out the door again, this means they need fewer people during rush and thus much lower overhead.
Some people are willing to pay 10+$ an order to have a much wider selection of restaurants from a huge area. But, that doesn’t scale to the kind of volume these companies expect.
For what it's worth, these ride-share delivery drivers also grab multiple orders at a time if they can. It's one of the reasons delivery takes so long. I've observed drivers putting in additional orders that just came in (and waiting for them) while they are picking up. I also think they'll swing by (and often wait at) two or three places to get orders before heading out to deliver.
Compare this to a restaurant running their own service that can chose not to prepare meals while waiting for more orders to roll in - so the delivery might not be as quick as it potentially could be, but the food is fresher.
The main edge the restaurants with their own delivery has. UberEats just black boxes the restaurant excepting it to treat the delivery guy as a ordinary customer. That process has to be so wasteful compares to bulk preparation and delivery.
The high volume portion is an interesting component - uber eats and whatever else cast very wide nets of the restaurants they'll deliver for while, prior to the SV injection, only some restaurants could reasonably afford to sustain delivery drivers. Sure, being centralized allows you to allocate only a portion of a driver to a given restaurant but that comes at the cost of complexity and likely a reduction in either parallelized deliveries or quality of service.
That was actually the first Uber Eats business model, sadly I can't find a source. They'd have a restaurant cook a couple hundred meals in bulk and then the drivers would bulk deliver them.
Letting customers order from restaurants they already know is obviously a bit easier to scale.
1. Set a time. Say 11:00 or 12:00. The food will be delivered at this time, no other time.
2. Set a location, a little table in the lobby of various buildings where the Foodsby driver drops off the food.
3. One driver goes to the various restaurants, and goes to the various dropoff points. One trip at one time can serve hundreds of customers.
-------
Every foodsby trip is synchronized to the time. As such, all orders and deliveries are batched together, saving time and effort on all parties involved.
The question is, how much do those restaurants charge themselves in a delivery fee? It wouldn't suprise me if they spend more than 5% the value of the purchase on making the delivery; in the same way that I expect more that 5% of a typical dine-in meal to go to fund the in-restaurant eating space.
> The question is, how much do those restaurants charge themselves in a delivery fee?
Usually not much, if anything. They keep the employees on the clock, and factor in labour cost much like a dine-in restaurant factors in the cost of your server.
They may not have a literal line item on an internal spreadsheet corresponding to how much of each bill goes towards delivery, but they are still paying for performing the delivery. When they outsource this service, they pay a third party for doing it, but save on the costs of doing it themselves. When you consider how expensive the third party is to the restaurant, you also have to consider how much they would be spending if they do it in-house.
The delivery driver is an hourly employee, so the % they pay depends on how many pizzas (or meals, if not a pizza joint) that driver delivers.
For this reason, most mom-and-pop restaurants limit their delivery radius to places their delivery drivers can reach within 10 minutes or less of driving (so the driver can make at least 2 deliveries an hour).
> Delivery is expensive. It's time-consuming, and customers are rarely willing to pay the true cost of it.
I think that's the main problem. Delivery isn't free and so far has been subsidized by Uber's investors or draining the restaurants.
Which didn't have a choice because they where being undercut.
We'll end up with either paying a reasonable price for delivery or picking it up yourself.
Or maybe robots, but those aren't free either.
I guess, you can operate a very good and featureful food delivery SaaS for a lot less if you skip GoogleAds, ridiculous mid 6 figure salaries (for a similar job in every place except SV) and building an exploratory machine learning arm to compete with the adtech companies you're anyway spending money on in this scenario. If you then host your servers in some coloc (because you'll have what: a 4 times surge capacity on holidays compared to a regular friday?) you can even reduce your computing bill (given that without needless data collection for your analytics and ML efforts your computing power needs will shrink fast...).
Around here most restaurants still use this kind of service (often hosted by some lowly webdev).
You missed his sarcasm. It's what most restaurants are already doing: putting up a webpage and having customers call them.
Any restaurant worth its salt is already tracking what its customers order (on an aggregate basis) because that's how they now what supplies to reorder and when.
He says most restaurants are. There's no money in one-off webdev consulting for low-margin businesses, which is why you won't hear it as a pitch - it's solved with a single webpage with a phone number, or maybe a Google Sheets frontend. There's so much human in the backend there's not a ton of point automating the frontend.
There might be some space in trying to tailor an out-of-the-box frontend framework to restaurant ordering. But honestly you might get out-competed by wix/wordpress/whatever if they ever invested a pretty trivial amount of effort into targeting you - it'd be a thin thin margin to walk.
because it's not interesting too me currently. Also, the market is saturated and competing on such a market (especially if it's invaded by cash-burning startups) isn't fun for sure.
Sometime back Uber added this $0 delivery for a set of rotating restaurants. In my mind what I figured they were doing was clumping orders together to drive down costs... in practice I don't know what they're doing, but I like that idea.
Maybe when this price war ends normal delivery will be something much higher and they offer some kind of flash or pre-order pricing deals on clumped orders. Like $5 delivery for pre-ordering a pizza for that evening from this one restaurant so only one driver needs to go out there. Uber-Pool for your food if you will. Or you place your order at a higher price and if some more people hop onto the order from the same restaurant they cut your delivery price a bit.
Sounds like Uber has a bad business model then. Restaurants already offered delivery, it’s not like Uber invented that or even exclusively enables it. Somehow they invented a model where nobody is making any money and convinced investors to enable it.
The cost for Uber is to process the cc transaction, cost of transportation (the close to minimum wage "net pay" to the driver).
I agree Uber has other costs, and I'm not saying it should act like a charity and not recover those costs.
So whatever is uber's costs + profit needed, add it as a fee for using the app.
Eg:
If I order a 2 large pizzas at my neighborhood pizza shop, and on their printed menu it is $40 (assume including taxes), I'd like to see the same price displayed to me. Uber can charge me processing fee and delivery fee of say $20 or $30 on top of this (to recover Uber's costs + profit).
Sadly, this is not what actually happens.
Ordering the same item through delivery app, I see that each menu item is costing $1 to $5 more already (happens with Instacart too). On top of this I pay a processing fee and a delivery fee. In addition to this, the pizza shop guy pays 40%.
Obfuscating price at every step and then proclaiming to be a saviour of my neighborhood restaurants, is exactly what ticks me off.
Again, I'm not saying delivery apps should be charitable. I just want some transparency. The reason I go to a local pizza shop, (in addition to satiate hunger and enjoy tasty food) is to support the local economy.
Uber can charge the same total amount to me while providing the same service, provided they clearly show how much goes to Uber and how much goes to restaurant and delivery person.
5% fees on top of the true cost of delivery is enough for what is essentially an automated process.
Maybe it's not enough for "growth" and "engagement" and maintaining an engineering blog about their overengineered stack (I call those "engineering playgrounds") but guess what? None of those things benefit users.
f you can't provide a product or service to customers at a price they want to pay, too bad but that's capitalism. Not every business is viable even if the 'goals' are.
Dining out is already a luxury. Paying 20% more just for someone to deliver the food to my door is even more of a luxury, and without the 'dining out' experience.
Honestly I don't expect delivery services to survive, and I don't think it would be a tragedy if they ceased to exist.
I can't edit my post any more, but it makes me sad that this is sitting negative, when what I did was point out that food delivery is a luxury. This whole business of delivering everything has only really taken off in the last 3 years.
If you want to create an echo chamber, this is how you do it.
Everything beyond the most rudimentary food, clothing, and shelter is a luxury. It's not very insightful to stick your nose in the air and loftily proclaim something a "luxury," as if your opinion should be taken into account in the boardrooms and executive suites at Uber.
>Delivery is expensive. It's time-consuming, and customers are rarely willing to pay the true cost of it.
>Most of the restaurant delivery services were bleeding hundreds of millions of dollars last year. They've had a resurgence because of the Covid-19 but that's a blip compared to a normal situation.
>If people think it doesn't cost that much money to operate, then all restaurants shouldn't have a problem having their own delivery service.
This is the comment I was responding to. Someone was discussing how much it costs to deliver and why people should be willing to pay more than 5% fees. And my comment that it's a luxury on top of a luxury is nothing more than an explanation of why people aren't willing to pay more.
>It's not very insightful to stick your nose in the air and loftily proclaim
Honestly I'm not sure why you took a comment calling food delivery a luxury so personally, I'm sorry it offended you.
It didn't offend me, no worries. But I do use these services quite a bit, I appreciate the role of the driver (and tip accordingly), and I would prefer that the companies in question survive and prosper.
Is it a "tragedy" if food delivery services cease to exist? Not to me personally, but it would be an inconvenience, and likely something much more serious to the people who work there and to those who drive for them. It's unlikely that those people appreciate being dismissed as unnecessary. In a capitalist society, the fact that they are a luxury doesn't have any bearing on whether they deserve to earn a living. I'm sure you indulge in more than a few luxuries yourself, just not this particular one, and that's OK.
(My comment was) nothing more than an explanation of why people aren't willing to pay more.
Except you went a bit further than that, didn't you?
Honestly I don't expect delivery services to survive, and I don't think it would be a tragedy if they ceased to exist.
You were probably downvoted for appearing insensitive. It happens. Take the 'L' and move on. I usually shoot for a long-term baseline of zero, myself, because I agree with your criticism that HN tends to sound like an echo chamber.
It certainly would be a tragedy for all of the drivers who lost work and may struggle to feed their families. Many of the drivers are immigrant men who have few other prospects for work.
If delivery driving is going to be socialized as a jobs program, is it the ideal jobs program? I think not.
There must be unprofitable business activities that would make better jobs programs. Student stipends, vocational training, teachers aides for natives learning foreign languages, subsidized English language lessons, almost anything would be a better investment for immigrant men than subsidization of unprofitable delivery services. Arguably just handing out money and skipping the unprofitable business activity would cause less damage and waste to the environment.
And maybe that's a societal problem we should be addressing instead of expecting people to give money to silicon valley companies.
Don't get me wrong. I've used and use these services at times. I'm not morally opposed to them. I just think that saying that telling someone by not using them they're hurting immigrants is just a whole lot of backwards.
telling someone by not using them they're hurting immigrants is just a whole lot of backwards
Backwards? What's backwards about wanting to inform people of all the consequences to their actions? Life is messy and complicated. Far too often people don't want to think about all the consequences to their actions so they can erase that complexity.
As an aside, not all of these companies are Silicon Valley-based anyway. SkipTheDishes, the one I use, is a Canadian company.
You can say the same thing for every food truck or small restaurant you've ever passed. The simple act of ordering food from one place instead of another risks putting the other out of business and that family out on the streets.
At some point we need to fix societal issues instead of worrying that not consuming goods or services is harmful.
I'm not saying "don't fix societal issues." Some people lean on the "fix societal issues" line to the exclusion of all else though. They let the perfect be the enemy of the good.
If Uber cannot afford this, maybe it is not a viable business. If either the restaurant has more cost than income, or Uber has more cost than income, it seems not to be working really.
In my neighborhood in NYC, restaurants are getting much more vocal about the commission rate.
We used to be pretty exclusive seamless users in my house until we got a letter in one of our bags that roughly read:
"thank you for your order. Especially with the decrease in volume during these times of crisis, the grubhub commission makes it hard for us to stay in business. please consider ordering direct to support your neighborhood."
Since then (near the beginning of the COVID shelter in place order), we've ordered with the telephone or custom solutions every time. And we've noticed a difference: delivery times are literally half of what they were before.
It's interesting to see the `shopify`-ing of restaurants in our area: instead of going through the big platform of Seamless etc., they're using platforms that appear to be more like shopify/stripe (decentralized, meager commissions, no high-traffic "discovery" platform). Some of our favorite restaurants have even left Seamless/etc, because they're literally losing money on orders fulfilled there.
I don't know if all of this commotion will be enough to unseat the seamless/grubhub/postmates of the world, but I honestly hope it does. Restaurants are a tough enough business as it is, and the steep commission rates have been converting mom & pop places into sweatshops. :/
My wife and I were exclusively using Seamless until we read an article in Eater talking about how Grubhub/Seamless charge restaurants $6-7+ per phone call.[0]
..but then when we started trying to call or order directly through restaurants, we kept getting turned away and told to order through one of the apps. It seems many (most?) restaurants aren't in a position to take orders over the phone or directly through their website, even for pickup.
Similar experience here in NYC/Brooklyn. Got a leaflet in an order to use their direct website. They use this, which seems to work pretty well and the tech looks solid:
We use Uber Eats for discovery. We'll use it to find new establishments, and on the first order, I'll tip cash to make up for what Uber Eats takes from the restaurant. If we decide to patron the same restaurant again, we order directly from them to avoid the Uber tax for them (edit: as many are aware, margins are slim [3-5% typically] for restaurants and the delivery service tax is onerous on them). Has worked pretty well. Be the change y'all.
Yes, be the change and stop tiping. That's the change that everyone needs to be doing, then the prices would increase to match what the market should actually be, rather than rely on charity of customers.
>>I'll tip cash to make up for what Uber Eats takes from the restaurant
So you've just allowed Uber Eats to operate another day, because the restaurant can now justify using them and their shitty rates.
> So you've just allowed Uber Eats to operate another day
My understanding is that Uber Eats loses money on each order. Has that changed? If so, I'll stop using them immediately and perform discovery in another way ("Restaurant Roulette"). I want my money going to the folks doing the hard work, not scalpers ("the platform").
Going to keep tipping though, not tipping doesn't fix bigger issues causing the need for it that are out of scope here. Sorry if my economic empathy bothers you (no snark intended).
Pretty sure all that'll really happen if you stop tipping is that some poor delivery driver gets screwed. Just stop using the apps, order from the restaurant directly, tip your delivery people.
I do realize that this is a pipe dream, but if literally everyone stopped tipping at once, the conditions would have to improve.
Also, I'm from the UK - while tipping in restaurants is semi-common(not expected), tipping delivery drivers is literally unheard of. Doesn't exist, no one does it. And yet.....somehow, delivery drivers still exist as a profession.
My point is - every time you tip, you allow shitty employment practices to continue. It's the same as giving money to beggars on the street - they continue begging because they know it works, it's a self sustaining circle.
You’re right, broadly, but please don’t do this when you’re visiting the US. You’re screwing over a real life, individual person because it pleases you to make a point.
So you're from a country where tipping isn't so engrained or important. Here in the US tipping is the main way service workers make money. Most base wages are simply untenable.
Now, I'm not saying I like that, in fact I hate it. We are in essence subsidizing their employees. It definitely needs to change but please don't encourage people not to tip. There are realistic ways to get rid of tipping. Just stopping tipping isn't one of them. All your doing is hurting the little man/women. Also comparing them to beggars is pretty out of touch.
A source for what? For people not tipping delivery drivers? I live in the UK and I have never heard about anyone tipping delivery drivers - you are literally the very first person I've read about that tips delivery drivers in the UK. So no, no source, personal experience.
The assumption that the apps would raise wages if people suddenly stopped tipping seems misguided. It's possible that people would just work longer and harder for the cash because they're desperate.
There is always hysteresis. People don’t just operate on some smooth indifference curve. You cant lower wages (due to past wage history), but total comp can go down (due to less tipping and companies not increasing wages). Furthermore, lots of gig/restaurant workers operate close to minimal wage, which further drives wage inelasticity (eg companies cannot drive down their wage).
The restaurants don't lose a full 30% on the order - the items on Uber eats are marked up over what you pay when you do regular takeout. I wouldn't go so far as to say they don't lose any money at all but we won't know exact numbers until Uber / restaurant owners publish them somewhere.
Also, having a delivery option I'm pretty sure provides additional business (on top of just having dine-in / pick up). So, for a restaurant to hire employees and building out a delivery service themselves will be much more hassle and probably will be more expensive than using a service like doordash / uber eats.
Lastly, this is driving a trend towards the so-called "cloud kitchens" letting restaurants operate with a subset of staff in cheaper to rent places and charging effectively what a regular restaurant would for a meal.
The restaurants are going through a paradigm shift now, and it will only be accelerated due to COVID - Cloud kitchens can be more sanitary / safer to order from than regular dine-in restaurants for instance but I don't really feel sorry for them. If anything, the drivers doing the delivery are the ones getting shafted here and barely making any money. If folks start tipping, it will simply mean that Uber can afford to pay drivers less - the amount a driver makes won't change very significantly.
Overall I'm convinced eats is the future and Uber focusing on ride share + eats + self driving (existential threat if someone else does it cheaper / better) is the right way to go for the company.
> The restaurants don't lose a full 30% on the order - the items on Uber eats are marked up over what you pay when you do regular takeout.
Not to mention that they are saving on labor and rent costs on delivery orders by not having to pay additional wait staff, get a bigger space more more tables etc.
> Not to mention that they are saving on labor and rent costs on delivery orders by not having to pay additional wait staff, get a bigger space more more tables etc.
Except business models that were takeout/delivery from the start usually had their own delivery drivers. The apps were marketed at restaurants that typically were full-service but didn't have delivery staff.
I don't understand the appeal of these food delivery services at all. For those occasions where I feel lazy enough to have a pizza or Chinese food delivered instead of walking or driving to pick it up, I don't want a middleman company contracting the job out to some random person. Who thinks that's a good idea? How many layers of profit-taking do people think is acceptable to have random people touching their food along the way?
That's setting aside the ridiculousness of all of the one-off trips I see in my building and my neighborhood, burning gasoline to hand-deliver a sandwich.
> I don't understand the appeal of these food delivery services at all
I'm sure there's no end to the things you don't understand.
> For those occasions where I feel lazy enough to have a pizza or Chinese food delivered instead of walking or driving to pick it up, I don't want a middleman company contracting the job out to some random person.
You may be surprised to know there are people in different situations than yourself.
* What if I want something besides pizza or Chinese food?
* What if I don't have a car?
* What if restaurants are too far to walk?
* What if I'm unable to walk?
* What if I have small children that I can't bring with me and can't leave behind?
* What if I have something important going on and can't take time to go get food?
* What if I don't want to call them on the phone? What if I have anxiety or can't speak?
* What if I don't know what kind of food I want, and would like to browse options?
* What if I'm new/don't know the area?
> How many layers of profit-taking do people think is acceptable to have random people touching their food along the way?
So you're ok with the food preparer and other employees, and the restaurant's delivery person "touching" your food, but not a 3rd party delivery person. Anyway, the delivery bag is typically sealed when ordered through these services.
Maybe if you thought about it for 5 seconds, you could understand why these services are so popular.
I've thought about it quite a lot and discussed this with some of the delivery people I see on the street and in my building. I have enjoyed these elevator discussions about the economics of feeding the lazy. Many of them are also surprised that people will pay them to deliver a Jimmy John's sandwich.
Every level of civilization is built not on laziness but on convenience and the additional freedom that convenience brings. I'm sure at some point someone was complaining that people were eating bread from grain they didn't grow themselves.
There's a difference between economies of scale and technological advances enabling the leverage of comparative advantage and the situation with Uber Eats. Uber Eats is just VC cash being burned to employ human labor to hand-deliver fast food to the lazy and gluttonous. It's not appealing to me. I understand some people will enjoy it while it lasts.
If one can bill their time at $200/hour and it takes 30 minutes to go get a sandwich, is it lazy to pay someone $10 to do it for them or just good economics?
I have often (pre-COVID) employed my comparative economic advantage and had other people make meals for me in a restaurant. I have occasionally had my assistant pick up a meal when I am working. I still don’t see the appeal of having two other legal entities involved in a fast food transaction.
Do you trust your Uber Eats driver? As I said, I understand the appeal of the occasional food delivery. I don't understand how delivery of fast-food at such scale can be sustainable. Right now it is making it possible to have cheap fast food delivered. I don't see how that works once the VC cash is all burned up. That is, until it is fully automated.
It really doesn't matter to me what random person delivers my Amazon package. I care about what I eat.
The fact that it is fast food is what surprises me. There's so little value added for so much money. I'm sure it appeals to other people. I ride elevators with Uber Eats drivers delivering a Subway sandwich. That's a ridiculous investment for such a terrible meal.
To avoid that group, I suppose you have to cook all your food yourself?
As a society, we take on different specializations and, as a result, increase overall efficiency. No reason to call this specialization out as something that only serves the "lazy".
Maybe it is mean of me to consider the consumption of fast food as lazy. I did eat fast food myself frequently when I was younger and I consider that version of myself to be lazy. Nowadays I know I can wait to have a proper meal in almost all occasions. Regardless, if do decide I can't function without a Chick-Fil-A sandwich, I won't have it delivered by a middleman.
> I don't understand the appeal of these food delivery services at all.
The appeal was that these services would work with almost any restaurant that had takeout but not delivery.
Personally, if I were a restaurant, I would use these services to gauge how much interest my clients have in delivery. Once I pass a certain threshold or during peak times, I would hire my own drivers and do my own delivery while cutting out the SillyVally VC backed services.
11:37 PM on Tuesday--sure, Uber gets that one, LOL. Peak Friday from 5:00PM to 10:00PM--I'll have my own drivers for that timeslice, thanks.
I think one point I failed to make is that I'm astounded that restaurants are outsourcing such an important role on the higher end. But at least it makes sense on the higher end.
On the lower end (hand-delivering a Subway sandwich) it is just a clear sign of VC cash being set on fire.
When a person starts to have discretionary spending power, or starts to feel to not have to be cheap any more, the previously unimagined items or services that one didn't feel one needed, inflate greatly.
I get that. I enjoy same-day Amazon deliveries and other benefits of modern technology and industrial scale.
I'm still not going to have random middlemen hand-deliver terrible fast food for me.
When we have truly driverless cars and robots delivering food it will make sense to me. Until then, it's just an artifact of there being too much VC cash needing to be burned intersecting with laziness.
> I understand using these apps is more of a necessity if you have kids and larger number of people at home
I have 2 small kids. From my perspective, it actually makes less sense to use an app for delivery because having kids often implies also having a car (in north america, anyways). So driving down to the restaurant for pickup costs considerably less than using the delivery option.
I'll still use the app though for the same reason Uber originally became popular: there's no need to call or talk to anyone, and there's no need to fumble with physical currency for payment; you just tap a few buttons, drive to the store, pick up your food and go.
I agree with you about convenience of ordering. This was often the case when I was in the US. But in canada it's nice that all stores I frequent accept credit cards, and all of them work with apple pay, so no fumbling with cash.
Probably I'm not like most app users are. If I know a few different types of restaurants in the area, and I know specific items I like there, I'll just order the same thing again and again until I move elsewhere.
If I wanted a new place, new dish every time, probably Delivery apps would be a good way to discover
No delivery service is good. Why would I pay more for soggy food that left the kitchen almost an hour ago? Restaurant's own delivery services don't even suffer from this as they go right from store to door. Ubereats et al orders sit for 15 minutes by the register waiting for the driver to appear.
Not sure how food delivery works in US, but here in London I can get my food no late than say 45mins after I placed my order (via Deliveroo and afaik JustEat too). And the only time I ordered food in US, I had the pizza about 30mins after I ordered it (via UberEats).
I think it's ethical! That would take a hundred dollar order for it to meet GP's standard though.
I hope Slice wins. Their business model is still vulnerable to credit card chargebacks, but they let the restaurant handle delivery and pickup, which is why they might be able to afford taking less of a cut. I can't say Slice's business model will work, but I can pretty much guarantee that taking a 5% cut won't work. Slice also probably needs to pass on credit card processing fees (at least 3%) for any transaction they handle in addition to their flat fee in order for it to work. They provide an option of paying in cash though.
Thanx also seems like it might be good. I interviewed as part of interviewing at five companies in five days at TripleByte. That was a surreal experience. I had lived in SF for three and a half years, and had only been gone from SF for two months when they flew me back to SF and I stayed at Hotel Whitcomb. Never had I stayed so close to City Hall when I lived in SF. At the time Thanx was mostly about rewards. I saw them come up when I ordered from a burger place called PINCHO in Coral Gables, which is adjacent to Miami where I live now. It seems like an ideal pivot. Like Slice, it had very good UX.
Conversely, if restaurants can't survive with apps taking a 30% cut, there may be no market for delivery aggregators. 5% is too little for the aggregator; 30% too much for the restaurant. Perhaps there's a middle ground around 15%.
one might ask why the commission is necessary at all. unless you're placing an enormous order, a large order isn't really more expensive to deliver than a small order. the bottleneck is much more likely to be the number of stops you can fit into a single loop before the food gets cold than the volume of food you can fit into a single vehicle.
the only answer I can think of is that they don't want the customer to realize the true cost of delivery.
I don’t know about Uber Eats, DoorDash, or GrubHub but SkipTheDishes here in Canada doesn’t use “loops”. Every delivery is one-to-one. You place an order, the restaurant confirms it, a nearby driver accepts it and travels to the restaurant to wait for it to be prepared, the restaurant prepares the food and gives it to the driver, the driver delivers it.
It’s very inefficient unless your goal is to optimize for quickest delivery and hottest food, which is what it is. However, there is one major efficiency it has over the restaurants paying for their own delivery drivers is that SkipTheDishes has a large pool of drivers to dispatch orders to from all of the restaurants. It’s like having a thread pool you can dispatch jobs to rather than having dedicated threads allocated to each work queue (which may end up idle a lot of the time).
Another thing you have to consider is that the drivers need to earn a living. If they only get one or two orders a night and spend the rest of their time waiting around then they can’t afford to do the job so they’ll probably quit. These delivery services ensure that drivers will have a busy shift because their scheduling systems don’t overbook drivers. That all goes out the window if you ask every restaurant to hire their own drivers.
'Batched' orders are very common in the US. With some very popular restaurants on Grubhub, they'll batch 5-10 orders for a single apartment building, have the courier bicycle to the building and go door-to-door delivering them, sometimes multiple on the same floor.
A larger order is more expensive if delivering by bike (think urban areas). The bike would have limited storage space. One large order means fewer small orders performed in parallel by the courier.
Restauranteurs opt-in to their relationship with Uber Eats. If they feel they aren't getting compensated fairly, they can opt-out.
It feels quite condescending that you think you need to protect restaurants from Uber when restaurants are already capable of dissociating from Uber. You're essentially saying restaurant owners are too dumb to know what's best for them, so you need to make decisions for them.
This is not how it works. There is a network effect. If everybody uses Uber Eats then as a restaurant owner you have no choice but to opt-in. Talk to some restaurant owners.
And to make a more general remark: the free market doesn't always have the desired effect. See for example Net Neutrality which wouldn't exist if the free market had its way.
> Here in Toronto area, most of the big food outlets are closed, because they are not able to get workers.
Huh that surprises me. Here in the UK the big food outlets have gone on a big hiring spree to keep up with the extra demand from people all eating at home.
Canada is showering it's unemployed citizens with something similar to $2000 per month unemployment benefits.
That's $12.5 per hr for not working, while (minimum wage in Ontario) is $14 per hr.
Why would anyone work to get $1.5 per hr extra? When you can stay home and get the free money? (in fact other provinces, $12.5 per hr is above minimum wage).
Having something like this for a month or two was probably fine, but right now Canada is paying it's residents to not work while grocery stores / warehouses are not finding enough workers.
I was tilting positive of UBI until I saw the effects of this $2K per month scheme in Canada.
To immediately solve the problem, Canada can continue giving $2K per month to those who are unemployed, but working in a necessary occupation (say grocery stores, deliveries, warehouses) wouldn't disqualify them from getting the $2K, with a caveat that there's no minimum wage. At that point it's a two sided bidding with grocery stores going lower and workers increasing their bids. At some rate (say $5 per hr or $10 per hr) there's a right balance for supply/demand of labor.
Waitrose, Marks and Spencer, high street takeaways, restaurants doing delivery, for example are all open in my village. But we don't have any Deliveroo, UberEats, etc, coverage where I live as it's the North.
People if they don't have a car, are afraid to take public transportation to go to work. The same happens with some food factories, 10x more orders but half the people are refusing to go back to work.
my concern was uber not having competition and that has been set right with at least one other ipo-ed company. uber for me is as important as local business.
There is no competition because the business is not sustainable. Not everyone gets to raise billions of dollars on a promise of self-driving future - where the per unit economy might be sustainable. When that happens there will be tons of competition.
yes, this wave of delivery services haven't solved last-mile logistics in any meaningful way over previous waves. their main "innovation", popularized by uber, is outsourcing the capital investment to less sophisticated operators (while matching and real-time routing have improved, those are incremental improvements at best).
no one has cracked the core logistics problem involving time or cost, which is the real hump. i can literally order a pizza, walk to the store to pick it up, and return in less time than a delivery service can deliver, and i've saved all that overhead cost and it's warmer/fresher to boot. even moreso with groceries. granted, i'm in a city, but the gambit of delivery is that the city is the real shizzle for delivery.
until the logistics problem is solved, it makes little sense to use a delivery app for more than as an occasional novelty or treat.
Once you can walk (easily) to pick up a takeout order, the value of delivery goes down pretty quickly. Not that I have great takeout options near where I live, but I'm going to have to hop in a car and it's going to take me probably close to 30 minutes to pickup an order when all is said and done. If I had good takeout delivery options, I would definitely use them now and then.
fair. the psychology is interesting though. people almost never want food 30 minutes from now. we want food now, when we think of it.
but "now" is contextual. empty time between desire and fulfillment is dreadful, to be avoided. waiting for delivery still burns background brain cycles keeping tabs on it (not to mention how much harder it is to decide and order via an app) and therefore isn't a pancea in itself. this is especially true when you want to put those otherwise wasted cycles to work on something more important.
if you go to pick it up, you're making progress toward the goal, and "now" stretches out along that task. it feels somewhat like you're getting food "now", even 30 minutes later. you don't feel that same sense of waste. but if you're already wasting time (like watching tv), then the strain of waiting isn't nearly as consequential or burdensome.
in any case, if i lived in a more suburban area, i'd still likely rather drive and pick up the food (as we did growing up) than get it delivered. it's still often faster, fresher, and cheaper than delivery apps, and you don't have the parking issues that can make pickup harder in urban areas.
Assuming you live in Toronto proper. Most of the GTA is pretty sparse and car-oriented. Even northern Toronto (think Steeles) is already relatively suburban.
There's a guy that's working on an app that helps you order directly from local restaurants so they can save on commission fees: https://www.eatnyc.org/
I still havent figured out what the value prop is of Ritual. It seems like rent seeking between co-workers. If my co-worker buys me a burger, I just venmo her.
I agree with the other two comments:
1) it's a much better easier for ordering pickup than I've seen from any other website or app. It's very easy to build a "Ritual" because it saves your past orders.
2) skipping the line is amazing, especially in the middle of a breakfast or lunch rush.
My office is huge into Ritual, it was used daily. The group ordering makes it way easier than "grab me a burger and I'll Venmo you". You can fully customize your own order without bothering your teammate with "no pickles, extra cheese please". You then pay on your own, so no one has to keep track of splitting bills and IOUs. A small bonus is that each individual order is packaged separately and clearly labelled so that you don't have to fish out items and work out whose is whose.
You can definitely achieve the same thing without Ritual, but the app takes care of all the pain points and pays you in rewards to use it, so why not?
It's a single well-designed app where you can order takeout in a few clicks. It's generally much easier to re-order a past meal on it than it is to call or use some clunky web interface.
I don't like the smell when butter is turned into ghee.
But I love ghee. In fact, after a short stint on a Keto diet, looking at the results, I now understand why ghee is essential in every meal! It makes you consume less carbs.
Because of industry propaganda blaming food fat, we have been used to low fat foods. A spoonful of ghee in every meal is not bad. You just need to get used to it.
My grandfather loved ghee, and I'm sure it contributed to his good health in old age. As a youngster, he could even drink a cup of ghee neat!
For some reason, that same love has not been inherited by his son (my father) or his grandchildren. Strangely, however, we shared very similar tastes in everything else!
4/4S/5 and the old SE are still my favourite designs / form factors (saying this despite owning 6/7/11Pro). I hope 12 will do away with rounded edges (similar to the latest iPad Pro).
You can switch between Apps by hard swiping from the left edge. You can move the cursor and make text selections by hard pressing the keyboard. You can preview links in safary without having to long press. You can open additional options in control center (flashligh brightness, timer duration etc). You can hard press a song, and without lifting ur finger select what you want to do with it in less time than the newer models take to even show u the dialogue.
I am not certain but I think 3D touch referred only to touching app icons and opening a menu which you can still do but it is no longer as feature rich if the app supported it. All the other features you've listed are still present in newer phones.
No these features are not available in the Xs and 11(pro) as they lack the necessary hardware to recognize the force you apply to the screen. They simulate some of the features by opening the same menu after a long press, but that's not the same thing.
Did you think of setting up the same in Gujarat since you had to runaround so much in Sangli?