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Imagine vibe coding your core consumer application and associated backend…

Oh wait, I don’t have to imagine. That’s what Anthropic does. A nice preview for what is in store for those who chose to turn off their brains and turn on their AI agents.


I wish WhatsApp would get nationalized. I absolutely hate having to use it.

Given how inefficient Meta et al are, why do the pay so much more than the nimbler smaller companies? (Rhetorical question, I already know the answer: monopoly and regulatory capture)

Of course those engineers would rather have more meaningful work if it came with similar compensation and work life balance.


Hard to motivate people to work on things that destroy society. Money helps.

Want to see how motivated Meta employees are? Watch how fast their offices clear out at 5pm on the dot.


What do you think is an appropriate time for most employees to end their workday?

I am a terrible person to ask. My employers get their money's worth from me: I genuinely like my work and regularly work more than 8hrs a day. I also work in a field with others who, with some exception, do the same, so its strange for me to see "normal people" clock out on the dot.

Have you considered that people can both like their work, and like other things at the same time?

Meta offices are pretty full at 5pm lmao. In fact they are still decently full at 7pm after dinner at 6. Baffles me why people just make up random crap in areas they clearly know less than nothing about.

Because you have to pay people more to do boring or evil work vs meaningful or exciting work

In my experience the pay difference was never that close that meaning and ethics played a role in the decision.

Cool exciting and meaningful science job: 200k

Big Tech surveillance capitalism job: 800k (at the low end)

The calculus has only been about affording housing and providing for the family.


800k at the low end? Big tech pays well, but that sort of comp is reserved for very senior folks.

Where do I get this cool exciting and meaningful science job paying $200k?

This is my experience too. I actually briefly took the cool exciting climate change related science job and then realized that I couldn’t actually support my family’s lifestyle on $160k so I left and went back to surveillance capitalism. I do feel guilt about that decision, but I like to imagine I’ll be able to go back to working on interesting and ethical things after my kids are out of the house.

Seems the pay is very different and thus is absolutely playing a role in the decision?

I’m curious how does it track with class sizes and tracks (remedial, regular, honors, “gifted”).

The level is so low in my local elementary school that the single track math class is still doing addition within 20 for first grade.

The funny thing is that the state standard actually measure 2 and 3 digit addition for K and 1st graders, and proficiency at that level would be p75 for a 1st grader. So why is the actual class teaching level at p<50?


The standards in New York for first grade are adding and subtracting within 20. Which state are you thinking of with higher standards?

https://www.nysed.gov/sites/default/files/programs/curriculu...


It’s in California.

My child took the “CASTL” test as part of IEP assessment. According to the result percentiles, a 6 year old who can do 2 digit vertical addition is at the 70th percentile of 6 year olds.

How come in kindergarten the curriculum is counting to 100 and addition within 10, while the assessment test shows double digit addition is well within the norm?

BTW my child didn’t learn any arithmetic from school.

EDIT: In case I wasn’t clear: there is a huge discrepancy between the standardized tests and the actual curriculum “standards”.


> tracks (remedial, regular, honors, “gifted”)

The decrease is consistent across performance levels which should be a pretty decent proxy for tracks.


Oh yes, thanks for reminding me. I’m going to cash out the 401(k).

You’ll pay massive penalties on that, another option is options (heh) but I’m not finance-literate enough to know how to pull it off.

Only penalties if you withdraw from 401k. Most 401k plans have some kind of moneymarket, bond fund, or similar

You can just reallocate away from an index fund.

I’ve made my peace with the “massive penalties”. I benefited from employer match in the past. I want the money now, not when I retire.

You gotta do what you think is best, but I hope for future you's sake you decide to not pull the money out. Or if you do you have other retirement plans.

I'm trying to help my parents now their at retirement age and am seeing first hand what not planning for your future looks like. They hit retirement with nothing but a small social security check every month. Not even enough to cover rent in most places.

I don't know how much you have in your 401k, but it will be worth literally hundreds of thousands more if you pull it out when you retire. You aren't just paying the penalties now, you're paying for potentially decades of compounding.


Retirement plan is rappelling accident before dotage.

Well can't argue with that lol

But if by some tragedy you don't die young, your older self is gonna be pissed at younger you for costing him hundreds of thousands of dollars.


You could just buy deep out of money SP500 puts expiring in 1+ year. That way you would be "insured" against the bubble popping.

The thing is, every dollar you spend on insurance is a dollar (and its interest) you lose. Furthermore, we don't know when it will pop. 1 year? 5 years?

The more reasonable solution is probably gradually reduce exposure to US markets by selling SP500 shares and turning to Europe and emerging markets ETFs. No need to cash out 401k.


You should backtest this strategy over the last 20 years before you make serious decisions off of the vibe from internet comments

20 years is not enough.

If you just look at the past 20 years, the US has had exceptional returns compared to the rest of the world.

The thing is, historically, high PE ratios like what we're seeing in the US do not correlate with short term returns that are as high. Expected future returns decrease as the PE ratios go up in a pretty linear fashion.

https://am.jpmorgan.com/us/en/asset-management/institutional...


Why 20 years? Just because we know, post hoc, the usa outperformed other places in the last 20 years, in no way means the next 20 years will be the same.

If you want a different point to backtest from, try Japan in the 80s and early 90s


What's the point of backtesting? Does backtesting say anything about the future?

The point of backtesting is to allow you to do what you want to do with a veneer of being data driven.

Repetition rather than novelty is good for learning.

Sure, and she gets that, but at some point she completely memorizes the stories. She also asks if we can get new books at the store, but they don't make 'em that fast.

Isn’t that also a valuable life lesson that some topics/resources are scarce and at some point you need to do something else?

Sure, and she already got that lesson when there literally weren't more. Then she got another lesson: we can just make our own. In fact that may be one of the most important lessons to learn: you have agency, and you can use the tools you have as accelerants to better yourself, further increasing your agency.

What larger problem can you do in a school setting with a calculator?

When doing algebra you need to be able to effortlessly do sums, multiplications, divisions, factorizations.

Meanwhile if you’re doing a physics or engineering calculation, it’s better to manipulate all the symbols algebraically and only plug in values at the final step.

I don’t see how a calculator is actually useful in driving learning outcomes.


I'll need to engage in conjecture over elementary school lessons from 35 years ago, but one thing that comes to mind is we were calculating circle circumferences and areas quite quickly following the formulas. We still learnt arithmetic techniques by hand (though never logarithms, for whatever reason - I guess calculators replaced the log tables!), but when we moved on to broader things like geometry and statistics, calculator use let us focus on the actual topics and formulas and not repeating the grunt work like generations past.

For anything beyond that, I'd need to take it up with whoever wrote our curriculum! But I know it was mildly contentious at the time, much as the use of even more elaborate technologies are now.


There’s a bunch of answers to this question, but I think the easiest one is that a pocket calculator contains a table of logarithms.

You can do much of that other stuff by yourself, but no one alive carries a table of logarithms around in their head.

Once you accept that you should also accept that it contains Taylor series expansions for sine and cosine, which you also do not carry around in your head.

I recommend telling a physicist that you feel this way and seeing what they think about calculating machines.


2^20

Does order of toppings matter?


yes, only a monster would put the pickles underneath the tomato

I like programming, but I don’t like the job.

Then why are you letting Claude do the fun part?

Obviously, the fun part is delivering value for the shareholders.

There was a long and great ravine of suffering between the advent of the Industrial Revolution and our time of bounty.

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