I've been saying for awhile now that the utility is increasingly undeniable. It's amazing technology and for better or worse, is transforming the tech industry (in particular). I just wish we lived in a world without the speculative bubbles, because if this had been developed slowly, deliberately, over time, there would be no necessity to cast aside troublesome details like safety, suitability, and ethics...and we could enjoy the fruits as it was implemented gradually, responsibly, as it matures. As opposed to going "wow, this is really cool, but gosh I feel shitty about using it..."
Nor would it have been thrust blindly into the hands of your manager, the marketing department, the CEO, and countless other folks who have no understanding of how it works, its limitations, or its risks.
> I just wish we lived in a world without the speculative bubbles
Speculative bubbles, I.E. risk is where much of the capital comes from to develop these ideas to start. I’m not sure you can have one without the other.
When you say “increasingly undeniable” do you mean that it’s already plainly undeniable and it’s getting more so? Or do you mean it is still a bit deniable but is threatening to become undeniable soon?
A tech workers union or a stronger regulatory state could help with this but neither party has been that interested in either of those things for the last 50 years.
Well at least from where I'm sitting, it's working fine for us. We aren't in the midst of an oligarchy made up of the Epstein class, for one.
Could thing be better with the tech industry here? Sure, but at the same time, profits and industry leaders aren't the only things that matters. And at the very least companies here can't just exploit the public with total impunity.
I am also a European. Our oligarchy looks different for sure (and look into the history of pedophile scandals in Belgium, BTW).
I am not as optimistic as you. We seem to be stagnating our way into a stark choice between becoming an American tech vassal, a Chinese tech vassal, or losing out the remnants of our ability to compete on the world markets. Half of the continent borrows money at an unsustainable rate in order to pay millions of people to do nothing for decades.
We have made decisions that looked reasonable at the time they were made, but too much has changed in the meantime and now we are stuck in bad equilibria.
The Bismarckian pay-as-you-go pension system was stable as long as people had plenty of kids and died, on average, a few years after retiring. Now they have one kid and spend 20 years in retirement before they die. The maths of that system just does not work out anymore.
The European highly regulated industry was king as long as the rest of the world had no other choice, but now that Asia has industrialized, they are blowing us out of the water. First with lower prices, but now also with quality. German exports are half of what they used to be, with another halving expected. And of course without exports, our current social spending cannot be sustained either - you cannot keep such a massive redistribution mechanism running on an economy based on selling each other cups of coffee in a beach bar.
Our most talented engineers tend to move abroad and stay there. Brain drain is one of the most serious things that can happen to a country or a continent, and we are suffering from it.
We just cannot continue to live like that, something will have to yield, but many voters just don't want to hear that.
We are. In the UK we have the former Prince Andrew and Peter Mandelson selling information to Epstein. There are lots of other people all around the world connected to Epstein and mostly investigations are slow or on-existent or blocked through lack of cooperation by the US.
Epstein's network is one we know about because its been exposed and because of the sexual abuse aspect of it has both drawn attention and made people less likely to cover up for those involved. Its only a fraction of the corruption that goes on though.
> We aren't in the midst of an oligarchy made up of the Epstein class, for one.
Europe even has literally hereditary monarchies; let alone an insular upper class who are famous for their debauchery. They just have much less free speech protection so it doesn't get bought up as much because of the legal risks.
Related note, but while looking up some background info on Wikipedia it appears [0] it was technically illegal to publicly insult Donald Trump in Germany at the start of his presidency which would have added a hilarious angle to a classic joke [1].
[1] In the USA, you can stand in front of the White House in Washington, DC, and yell, "Down with Ronald Reagan", and you will not be punished. Equally, you can also stand in Red Square in Moscow and yell, "Down with Ronald Reagan", and you will not be punished.
The US is great for free speech as its constitutionally protected. However it is also very corrupt. Pros and cons.
There are a lot of advantages to constitutional monarchies in terms of stability. The monarchs do not actually have much power. I on balance prefer living in the UK and would not want to move to the US. There are pros and cons, and its culture and society (e.g. unarmed police) as well as politics and some if it is about personal circumstances (as someone who is obviously ethnic minority or foreign everywhere in the world I prefer a less racist society, for example).
I can yell "down with the King" or "down with the Prime Minister" pretty much anywhere. There are some restrictions on protest in a few places like Parliament square.
Indeed I am, and you're right, there is a reason for it. The tech unions don't need to capture mindshare in order to advertise VC-funded startups ;)
We shouldn't assume that YC is hosting this forum out of benevolence. However it is true that this place is also useful for things other than just advertisement, so that's a neat side effect. We just shouldn't assume that that's the primary purpose of HN.
> I've been saying for awhile now that the utility is increasingly undeniable.
If that was true it is strange that you would find yourself saying as much for a while now, given it sounds most appropriate in response to someone denying the utility of slop generators.
I could instantly detect it's claudiness too. I'm not sure what it is, but it's almost like it is physically injuring my brain when I read stuff like "Then comes the part that matters most".
Perhaps because it's wearing a channel through repetition.
One of my greatest fears is that this exposure starts to make us all talk and think in the same way. I honestly think that it's probably doing that already. Gah.
I actually was thinking about this phenomena. I’m not a native speaker and feel that in English overtime I tend to pick up Clauds “speaking style” as that’s what I “speak” most English to.
Doesn’t happen with my mother tongue though
This is the second post on HN today where someone gave this reason for using Claude to write/draft a blog post.
In my opinion, a post that obviously reads as non-native English is going to be more readable than something that can be detected as Claude output these days, unless maybe the former is filled with mistakes. I would imagine native speakers have a higher chance to detect Claudisms than someone less familiar with the language.
This is such a short blog post. You read this line (an entire paragraph by itself) and thought "good job Claude, you really captured what I was trying to say here"?
If you look at AI-written text, one major problem with it is the overuse of sentence fragments, very short sentences [1] and, more generally, a staccato style of writing rather than having the discourse flow. This can make the writing feel hard to follow. It's sort of the opposite problem of run-on sentences. Overuse of metaphors is also something that is counterproductive when you want to be understood, and LLMs make them a habit.
You can combat that to some extent by giving the model a style guide to curb the worst excesses, but some are likely to still slip through.
It doesn't bother me much personally, but for plenty of people it's a nails-on-chalkboard thing.
[1] For example, the problem with the em-dashes is not the em-dashes, but that it's just another case of getting hit with punctuation every few words.
It doesn't make sense! AI-generated text is insufferable. It requires so much parsing to get to what it's trying to say. Once I figure out what it's trying to say, I can generally say it with fewer words and less pompous structuring. I bet you could too, and then your blog post would actually be readable!
That'd be true if companies were approaching AI responsibly, and not attempting to YOLO vibecode entire platforms. But as core utilities go, I do see the value in hardening against vulnerabilities by using AI. And when sanity returns and companies start approaching its use rationally when it comes to development...develop best practices around how to build with AI, and ensure code remains reviewable and understandable by humans, limit scope creep and sprawl, and slow down a bit to think through these issues - yes, it could yield some very positive outcomes in the long run.
The problem is there is no way that you won't have someone, somewhere videcoding platforms, accumulating technical debt and benefiting short-term thereby. And once such approaches work and get semi-reliable, they'll spill over onto other areas, gradually becoming universal.
I mean, LLMs themselves come from exactly this phenomena. They are a product of finding a technology that scales and going with that no matter what. And parts of this will hit a wall and have to retrench, current players may implode but the genie isn't going back into its bottle so disruption within disruption will continue.
This aligns with my thoughts on a recent post here about code being "clay" now (as opposed to stone, which must be chiseled with great effort, skill, and time expenditure). Clay is much easier to work with and mold to our desired shape.
My point was, you still didn't build infrastructure out of great lumps of clay. You don't slap down some clay in the middle of a stream and vibe-build a bridge. Infrastructure was still built of stone. Or, if clay, out of individual bricks.
Similarly, LLM-generated code should be used to build discrete bricks of code that can be read, tested, and most importantly, understood. Then you take those bricks and architect and engineer your application with them. This is how you build a platform that can survive actual use.
You can make a model of a bridge with the clay...but the actual bridge is an entirely different pursuit. This is a discipline we need to develop as engineers, since LLM-generated code won't go away. It can be used to make bricks faster but we have to make the engineering decisions that create reliable, secure applications.
I generally agree but it starts to get interesting again once you have the first solid bricks in place. The LLM is incredibly good at seeing where you are going. You can place one brick and the next few become obvious.
I've been working on a project for the last 18 months, and over that time LLMs have advanced to the point where they've become useful. I can write a section of UI and ask the LLM to write all the front end and backend services. There are enough examples that it writes exactly the code I would have written myself. It can build entire sections of code quickly and efficiently because there aren't very many questions without an answer somewhere in the codebase, which it is very good at finding. If it finds any gaps, it can raise it as a question. It analyzes, asks questions, and then completes the work.
The impression that I'm starting to form is that you do not want to use AI very much early in a project, except to ask questions and check your code. But it's usefulness at assisting with code scales with the size of the project.
To me, code is the fluid poured into an architectural design that has clearly defined boundaries.
I work on several projects within the same workspace, and I’ve developed a prompt to kick off each task.
I make an effort to keep sessions small and task-focused, starting a new session for each task with a set of key questions:
Which repository are we working on?
Are we continuing on the existing branch, or creating a new one?
Is the branch based on the master branch?
What is the description of the task?
Are there existing coding style guidelines?
Are there clear boundaries, such as requiring an execution plan,
confirming understanding,
and always waiting for approval of the plan before proceeding?
These instructions clarify the scope of the task
and specify what must not be altered.
But infrastructure is actually made out of concrete, which can be poured almost like water into any mold you can fashion to hold it, and it then hardens into something stone-like.
But working with concrete is nothing like working with clay. It's not iterative at all. The mold has to be planned out and set up precisely ahead of time or else everything will be a mess and you are not going to be able to correct it. Working with concrete is really working with timber (or whatever material you are making the mold of)
Oh, good one, yes, the tests are the shape and then you fill that in automatically. I never thought of it that way, this is a very interesting insight. I wonder whether the effort you have to put into the mold versus the effort that goes in the object has been quantified.
Please, stop with the building metaphors. Source code is a design document interpreted by a toolchain to produce the product people actually care about.
Turnabout is fair play. Setting aside the overall ethical shitshow that AI presents, I don't really have much objection to turning their own tech against them.
LLMs are an incredible technology, and I would have loved to see them developed organically over time with sensible regulation and strong ethics....it would have taken many more years, but it also wouldn't have stolen the sum of human creativity, generated a hype bubble that threatens the global economy, wrecked the consumer hardware market, or been deployed in the most shortsighted, environmentally destructive ways imagineable.
But that's not what we got, so evoking the same fear and uncertainty that we must face in those who lead global megacorps is not out of bounds, as far as I'm concerned.
I've been threading the needle between my AI loving techbro indiehacker friends and my AI hating artist and FOSS geek lefty friends for the last year now and the dogmatism has been interesting. The extreme of it for AI lovers I don't really get in my friend group since I think it manifests mostly in AI psychosis meltdowns by tech CEOs like with the Proton Mail guy, or religious worship by the anyone with one degree of separation or less from anyone on the the AI doom cult temple sex priestess gang bang Sankey diagram.
To them, even a small use of LLMs is a moral endorsement and material contribution to the pillaging of natural resources by data centers, the racial profiling and inherent biases baked into LLM output by their training corpus and prejudices of corporate leaders, the theft of artists, writers, and FOSS contributors for training data, and even could cause irreparable brain damage (they inevitably have studies to link to, on LLM usage reducing problem solving abilities or creativity). Also LLMs still can't write good code, to these people.
I'm having a hard time demonstrating the enormous activist potential these tools present, especially in their current token-subsidized form (Claude max still is a hilariously obviously unprofitable endeavor). IMO turning these tokens into liberationist software (OP project and similar) is basically a form of wealth redistribution. Moving beyond clean room software implementation, once you get to the possibly or frankly illegal things you can do with LLMs, their activist potentials seem pretty obvious to me. Cracking and reverse engineering proprietary software, developing hacks against The System (what if we leveraged LLMs to take out Russian datacenters that flood the internet with ultra right wing propaganda? Or... Industrial sabotage <.<), automating social media content in the same way the far right is doing (or the opposite - responding instantly to all far right fake news, solving the "it's easier to create it than debunk it" problem), creating agitprop, or hell creating floods of disinformation. I mean depending on someone's value system in terms of ideologically valid strategy, there's a lot of possibilities unlocked by LLMs!
Personally I'm interested in anything that simply takes the winds of profit out of the sails of as many things as possible, which is why I like projects like this one and why I spun up a similar one a few weeks back: https://github.com/508-dev/genairosity Though I'm looking at smaller niche things like, milk collection software or whatever.
> I'm having a hard time demonstrating the enormous activist potential these tools present
The problem isn't that they don't have potential, but that the downside isn't worth it.
You're trying to convince people that asbestos has great potential as a building material. You're saying it does an amazing job of fireproofing, and don't worry your pretty little head about cancer.
Asbestos is everywhere in older buildings because it was excellent fireproofing. We're still dealing with the consequences.
This is also my argument against militarization and armed revolution as a strategy of establishing anarchist or communist society. The downsides are illustrated and argued against in "The Anarchist Cookbook," a rewrite of the original by Keith McHenry. So, I'm interested in what you think the downsides may be here, since I'm not immediately able to think of any - at least not any caused by me as an individual activist.
It does seem that AI was used effectively recently in the defeat of Bolsanaro's son in Brazil, which I use as evidence for. I'm at this moment looking more into that when I really should be working, heh. Thanks to user solyin, sibling to you.
Well, we can start by pointing out that every widely available model is either directly funds or bolsters authoritarians of the worst kind.
Then we can move to the damage it does to your mental abilities.
We can continue to the ongoing effect on society, the damage to the environment, and so on.
And we can finish with extrapolating on the abilities of the models, and the dystopia that having full AGI would be. Especially if that AGI is built by the current leaders.
I think you're aware of the downsides, but you don't want to put down your precious.
Yet another reason that Mars colonisation is such a distant and stupid pipedream. I'm not saying humanity shouldn't strive to continue exploring, but if we can't live sustainably on the one habitable planet we already have, the idea of expanding to one that's objectively hostile as some sort of backup plan is pure delusion. Musk isn't a dreamer - he's a con man.
The notion that we need to achieve utopia here before moving forward is so toxic. If people in the past had thought that way, we'd still be trying to make the perfect village in Africa.
"Humanity" isn't a preschool classroom where we all hold hands and do one thing at a time like the teacher says. It's fine for some people to be working towards the future while others are trying to fix things in the present.
This seems like a response tediously intent on missing the point: if you genuinely want to build a sustainable settlement on Mars, you should start by proving out sustainable settlements in harsh environments on Earth -- you could build out sustainable settlements in the Antarctic, the depths of the Sahara, and under the ocean all with substantially less expense/risk than trying to build a sustainable settlement on Mars. You'd learn how to build better sustainable settlements by doing so and encounter some of the problems you'll encounter on Mars with less dire consequences. And you don't have to choose one or the other: you can parallel path it by continuing to improve rocketry while building up sustainability strategies in harsh environments on Earth. The fact that Musk is intent on reaching Mars as the only difficult problem just underscores that he is not serious about settling Mars (or, perhaps, that he simply isn't that bright).
There is no reason that people who want to take on a ridiculous challenge shouldn't.
> ...you could build out sustainable settlements in the Antarctic, the depths of the Sahara...
That isn't an argument. I don't know what that is.
People who die on their way up to Mount Everest could .... ? People who spend their lives playing games could ... ? What a strange way to think.
Its good that different people really do want to do different things. Some of the best of have been taking on unbelievable challenges, pass or fail, live or die, since history began. Celebrate it.
You are right that for any interplanetary human expedition a prerequisite is to be able to make a closed environment for humans, where carbon dioxide, water, food left-overs and almost all other waste products generated by humans are recycled, producing free oxygen, potable water and food.
However, this does not mean that other required technologies, like for transportation or for protection against dust, cannot be solved before.
I also agree that recycling technologies are actually more important than spacecraft technologies, because they are equally applicable on Earth, not only on the path to other planets or in bases established there.
I do not believe that interplanetary travel will be possible for humans otherwise than in spaceships with artificial gravity produced by rotation.
This not only would avoid the health problems (the experiments on mice in the ISS imply that a gravity as high as 2/3 of that of Earth might be necessary for preventing harmful effects during long-term missions) but it would also simplify many of the recycling technologies, because handling fluids and powders is difficult in weightlessness. It would also simplify the growing of plants or fungi.
Almost nobody stays over the winter in Antartica because its horrible and cold. Given Mars is significantly more hostile, what chance has anyone got in surviving there and remaining sane and well ?
Svalbard is not the same as Antartica, the night period of staying indoors is a shorter time.
People do stay McMurdo over winter and there are many physical and mental problems because of the conditions, isolation and limited physical limitations.
In big cities there are a lot of people who, at least for a big part of the year, spend all their lives only inside their home apartment and inside their work office.
If someone had been willing to spend many times more money on a base in Antarctica, it could have been built to have a much greater interior space and with much more comfortable facilities, so that for the people living inside it there would not have been significant differences between living there and living in some big city of the Earth, especially now, when with modern communications they can speak face-to-face with anyone else on the Earth, at any time.
You are making a lot of uneven equations for places that are very different. Firstly mental health suffers when its completely dark. Secondly the homes you mention are not completely isolated to the same extent that living in Antartica is. The former residents can and do still go out, they have to get food for starters and that variety is significant compared to the Antartica experience.
People living in the far north type of places suffer significant suicide and drinking problems, when compared to typical people from other places because of the dark.
Mental health living in Mars is going to be a killer, life there is worse than living in a isolated prison. Try living in your home without any human contact or fresh air, and now imagine doing that for the rest of your life.
Lastly, money is not unlimited. The cost of a launch today is already tens of billions, the ISS cost hundreds of Billions. The cost of a mars base will be Trillions. Not sure why you think this is trivial consideration. If the US wont give free healthcare to its citizens who actually are productive and pay taxes, why would it spend an equivalent amount for a man or woman or a few of them to grow potatoes on Mars ?
That video friggin' radicalised me. It's SO unbelievably goddamned stupid that we don't invest everything in what is essentially free energy that will last for decades right now. It solves SO many problems, and even removes a few of the biggest objections people have to AI datacenters. The tech is there, it's mature, and it would make all of our lives materially better so we could spend our time and money on other things that would make our lives better.
To say nothing of the fact it would end wars over oil, facilitate cheap desalination, and solve so many other resource constraints.
This is the next big revolution we should be focused on - not the mass-IP-theft slop bots.
Well, I have CRTs in most of the rooms in my home. That's because of an unrelated condition for which I refuse to be treated, but they are great for privacy!
Plasmas are great, and I have one - and our main screen in the living room is just a bog standard Sony...I just love CRTs, but I'm a retro gaming nerd.
Nor would it have been thrust blindly into the hands of your manager, the marketing department, the CEO, and countless other folks who have no understanding of how it works, its limitations, or its risks.
reply