> But aren't you developing bad habits and learning patterns that won't work long term?
2 reasons - there's an advantage now, use it. 2nd the frontier providers, this is the "early cheap days" like when uber was initially cheap to compete vs standard cabs. they want you to become hooked and boy are we hooked.
hooked to ai coding, but not tied to any particular model. if they decide to bump prices up, I can easily switch to a cheaper chinese model on openrouter.
Yeah it makes sense, but ultimately the only thing that creates any form of lock in is the chat history and memories, and that isn’t super important, it’s not a real network effect like a social media app or a taxi app.
Having a better model is the only real moat, without that inference is a commodity
There isn't lock in and this is what scares them. Switching cost is SO LOW. Our team runs the 3 main models to cross check work without any issues.
The benefits are real and our willingness to pay is real, but the valuations only support one and right now even the free cheap models might win. Thusly the collapse could still happen.
I think it will happen, like you say switching is easy and the only possible moat is to build a better model than your competitors at enormous expense.
They’re all stuck in a cycle of spending huge amounts of money on training just to stand still (in business terms).
In the long run, it can’t continue because it doesn’t make any sense
Trucking is a fundamental need so once competition thins out prices will naturally rise and eventually the cost of fuel will be pushed to the customer.
Honestly I'm not sure why we started this war. It really feels like our president taking notes on Russia and saying you know what....
We didn’t start a war. That is a thing that Congress has sole authority to declare, and that hasn’t happened.
Also a thing that never happened: the Department of Defense was not renamed to the Department of War because only Congress has the authority to rename government departments. That vote never happened and the Department was not renamed.
Just reminding everyone that this is not normal, and it’s not legal, and the exact people who have a sworn duty to stop this are not.
Other examples exist for things like The War in Afghanistan, The Korean War, The Vietnam War, and similar. But I'm not trying to write an unprompted book here on this fine October night. :)
(Maybe Congress didn't declare those wars, but they sure seemed to accept participation in them nonetheless.)
I'm almost 40 years old. The US has basically been at war my entire life in some form or another. Not a single war was declared by congress, I don't think.
This is very much normal. I'm not saying it's correct or alright, just that it is normal.
It's a war. What you call it is immaterial, just like it doesn't matter that Putin refuses to call the invasion of Ukraine a war. The identity of a thing is not dependent on the label, it is inherent in the thing itself.
If you watched the film City of God, there's a voice over contemplating murder as the crew robs banks : the first time, the rule is the exception... the second time, he learned there's an exception to every rule... the third time, the exception is the rule.
The United States has gone to war so many times without (or with a faulty) casus belli that it no longer needed one, that's why "we" started this war.
I hate this one because it's true Einstein said we cannot measure the speed of light in one direction that is independent of the clocks' synchronization technique being used to measure.
And yet, somehow we changed that to "we don't know the speed of light in one direction!!!" Which is bogus - can you imagine if speed of light was different if you were pointing east vs west? In space, what is even a direction vs another?
Did you even read the wiki you linked? We've done one-way speeds, it's down below.
How do you synchronize the clocks and compute the measurement, without depending on the conclusion?
You run into a similar problem with Michelson-Morley: because the apparatus and the light both get distorted by any motion, you can’t even in principle detect the aether wind with interferometry. You need a non-comoving dynamic source, eg, LIGO with black hole collisions.
Their one-way experiments seem to require similar, ie, we can observe dynamics but cannot measure a static bias.
I'm over my head with your statement, but my guess is - Yes that's the point. Either you do 2 way or you accept 1 way clock-sync collusions.
My argument is it's not "We don't know speed of light in 1 direction". Also, there's another common youtube video that says "we've never measured teh speed of light!".
Those statements are just for click bait, shock value. It's not rooted in the science.
Very few people know how to read assembly, instruction sets, binary or even transistor combos. All those layers have been "left behind" to become specializations.
In many ways coding is always about abstracting and LLMs can be a form of "higher level coding".
There's lots of problems with this argument, but it's what's happening and we'll be okay. We've always been.
Tell ya what. Go ahead and prompt your agent to build your next project completely from assembly. Why even bother with the higher level inefficiency since it'll be compiled away.
Report back how productive debugging is and the velocity of adding new features to a codebase you can't reason about.
Without strong coding fundamental, this is what it will feel like for the future of the profession.
Bun? Of sorts? Hard port to Rust in a week and then merged in? No way they reason about that entire thing.
A business won't die just because an LLM is the only thing that can reason about a particular code base. At least, not like if a company's own engineers couldn't reason about their own code 2 years ago.
I recognize you don't agree with it - our world is changing.
> All those layers have been "left behind" to become specializations.
This never happened. The people who understood and worked with all of that still exist. I wouldn’t be surprised if there’s not more of them now. What happened is more people who didn’t need to know all of that joined the circus.
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