"In addition, Saarland is a special case as half of the deaths, unlike in the other German states, occurred in only a few long-term care facilities where a high number of people were infected in a short time and all deaths during the episode were attributed to Corona without autopsies being made."
to be fair he is merely quoting recent studies done by Stanford, Oxford, the CDC and elsewhere. the CFR is looking more and more like it will shake out to be similar to a bad seasonal flu with a skew toward the elderly and leaving children basically unaffected.
By the time he wrote this blog post the information available already demonstrated it was an order of magnitude worse than a seasonal flu. People are picking and choosing the narrative they want based on the data they find to match it.
Everyone in the biosciences knew the CFR would be 10-30x (or more) seasonal flu by March. It’s not going to look more like a seasonal flu because it crosses that threshold 2 months ago.
Unlike the flu, it appears you can get reinfected (3-4 months limited immunity), and while it’s unknown if additional infections are as deadly, it’s also unknown if a vaccine will work.
The blogger’s conclusions are based on old data, and they were the day he wrote this blog spam.
There’s a ton of bad coverage of the reality of this pandemic because people who have never stepped foot in a BSL 2+ lab are writing horrible analysis of an unknown problem. My state pretended to shut down, ended the closure order in may, and is at 80% icu bed capacity this week and highest per capita infections.
Arizona didn’t listen and were on track to be worse then NYC’s worst weak in the next 10 days if the infection rate continues unabated.
Viruses don’t like strong UV light, high temperatures, and low humidity, but somehow we’ve gone exponential.
