1. There will be an economic meltdown by summer. Similar to 2008, likely worse.
2. Some kind of extreme US constitutional crisis.
3. Putin will remain in power, but Russia will be struggling dramatically to keep funding the war as Ukrainian attacks keep chipping away at oil and gas exports.
Yeah it boggles my mind all the people on here constantly dismissing LLMs.
It's very clearly getting better and better rapidly. I don't think this train is stopping even if this bubble bursts.
The cold ass reality is: We're going to need a lot less software engineers moving forward. Just like agriculture now needs way less humans to do the same work than in the past.
I hate to be blunt but if you're in the bottom half of the developer skill bell curve, you're cooked.
If you hate reading other people's code, then you'll hate reading llm generated code, then all you'll ever be with ai at best is yet another vibe coder who produces piles of code they never intend to read, so you should have found another career even before llms were a thing.
Responsible use of ai means reading lots and lots of generated code, understanding it, reviewing and auditing it, not "vibe coding" for the purpose of avoiding ever reading any code.
> If you hate reading other people's code, then you'll hate reading llm generated code, then all you'll ever be with ai at best is yet another vibe coder who produces piles of code they never intend to read, so you should have found another career even before llms were a thing.
I do like to read other people's code if it is of an exceptional high standard. But otherwise I am very vocal in criticizing it.
If by "just breaks" means "refuses to write code / gives up or reverts what it does" -- yes, I've experienced that.
Experiencing that repeatedly motivated me to use it as a reviewer (which another commenter noted), a role which it is (from my experience) very good at.
I basically use it to drive Claude Code, which will nuke the codebase with abandon.
Wow! I've thought so long about doing the same thing in London. I wouldn't do it to make money persay, but to meet amazing people and connect folks. Would love to chat sometime.
We never intended to make money. The first dinner was with 13 of our friends. We just organized the location and menu.
From there people started to tell their friends, who told others, then the local newspaper wrote about us, and people started talking about us on Facebook food groups and posting on Instagram. The community grew very organically, we never spent a penny on marketing. Most of the original 13 don’t come anymore, and we have grown into an incredibly diverse community.
Thank you. All these people applauding Apple for not jumping on the bandwagon.
When in reality, they _wanted_ to but have become so dysfunctional organization wise, they weren't able to. Kind of funny how that worked out.
I still think they're really dropping the ball. They could have local models running on devices, interfacing with a big cloud partner (Google, OpenAI, etc.) Make Siri awesome. But no.
See Gemini Nano. It is available in custom apps, but the results are so bad; factual errors and hallucinations make it useless. I can see why Google did not roll it out to users.
Even if it was significantly better, inference is still slow. Adding a few milliseconds of network latency for contacting a server and getting a vastly superior result is going to be preferable in nearly all scenarios.
Arguments can be made for privacy or lack of connectivity, but it probably does not matter to most people.
I just want it to be able to control my apple home devices and trigger shortcuts, and maybe do a search into a few apps and find things. I know a local model can understand my intent for siri like operations because I literally have my own version of that on my laptop.
2. Some kind of extreme US constitutional crisis.
3. Putin will remain in power, but Russia will be struggling dramatically to keep funding the war as Ukrainian attacks keep chipping away at oil and gas exports.
4. At least one new major AI breakthrough.
5. Several more countries virtually collapse
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