Your example proves their point perfectly. You shouldn't delegate wishing your grandma happy birthday to a fucking AI agent. And you should feel ashamed for doing so. And you should feel the social pressure to hide that fact if you do resort to it.

While this tech doesn't feel quite as dystopian as most recent AI innovations, I do think it is a further step in the direction of human disconnection.

As long as the ROI from social relationships(inheritance, friendship favors, dating/mating potential, etc) can be upheld using less effort, such as language models, its a no-brainer and you lose out to competition if you don't do it.

Well you both prove each other’s point ;)

Are you saying you've never texted happy birthday to anyone? or people doing so should be ashamed? or it's ok to type the message on the phone but not saying it?

Cool idea. The way the video explains how he used probabilistic models to simulate when an action is expected to happen doesn't feel the same as it actually happening (whatever tf "happen" means in a simulated game to begin with).

It feels like saying some specific sequence of head and tails is 99.9% likely to occur after 3 million tosses, therefore let's pretend that it did occur. Though I'm not sure where the game footage came from so maybe there was some legitimate game engine running or I'm misunderstanding.

It is a little unclear, but I think they're basically running an accelerated simulation using a probabilistic model for mob movement and enderman block pickup/putdown, but otherwise running the simulation on a block grid that's a direct mapping to the actual world, so they can load up a snapshot of the simulation into the actual game to show the state of it. I do suspect they need a bit of movie magic to show the actual events they are describing happening in-engine though.

Clearly taking some liberties. Pumpkins can be grown, but wild pumpkins don't replenish. Same with snow blocks, basically. So they will get exhausted, there's no infinite supply of snow golems to eventually supply all the luck.

This is YouTube Minecraft clickbait of the sort which usually earns a "never recommend this channel" from me.

They were specifically interested in the question of whether there were enough of them in the world for this to realistically occur, so their model did take this into account even if it didn't simulate every tick of the world directly. (and the answer is yes: on the seed they found there are enough pumpkins and snow blocks for this to eventually happen).

Including the random walk from where the snow golem happened to get put and the one open portal in the world? That doesn't seem likely at all to me.

That's pretty much what they describe in the video. The random walk itself is not simulated tick-by-tick, but turned into an faster-to-compute model of the longer term statistical behavior of the walk. It's not quite a case of 'it would happen in the real engine at exactly these points with this seed', but more a statistical argument that it would be expected to happen on that kind of timescale.

But he's assuming that sometimes snow golems causes a creeper to target them, so these are random walks on a minefield, very finite.

Sure, but it doesn't need to be infinite, just large enough.

If we're nitpicking we also need a player logged in, stationed in the end and not dying for those billions of years, since MC does not update the whole world on its own :)

One player since spawn does get updated continuously, if spawn has enough pumpkins and snow...

That sounds like just playing further and further into the game of the corrupt leaders. Who do you think would profit off that 5x margin? Would that margin come more likely from a scientific breakthrough of via some new exploitation of natural resources or human labor?

It's yearsss past time that our leaders should have changed policy.

> % of U.S. adults who say they think the impact of AI on __ over the next 20 years will be positive or negative

Blank | Negative | Positive | Equal | Not sure

Society | 40 | 16 | 31 | 13

Them, personally | 31 | 23 | 27 | 19

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Probably as much a commentary on the fallacy that bad things won't happen to us, personally, as much as a commentary on AI. But I found the difference interesting.

Unfortunately it's already time to remove the "going to be" part of this.

I think we saw during covid that we most certainly can see the benefits in our lifetime if we took it more seriously.

I wonder what would happen if you tell the LLM to have no/less bias. What would the 1913 one say

They don't have any concept of their "personal" bias, so they'd imitate whatever training data they received that was tagged as not being biased, if there even was any.

I feel like you're wrong about this and small phones. Perhaps you're the one in an "everyone on HN must be in a bubble" bubble.

Small phones are definitely only wanted by a minority. A minority Apple catered too, but I guess has left behind or pushed further out.

Googled "radio controlled clock" and seeing results from $20-$200, lots of inconsistency in what the product is.

These are usually marketed as "atomic time" or "atomic clock" here in the US.

Look at the user lists that the band/album is included in. The title of the list should give you a good idea of what else you'll find on it.

You can also click on any one of the band/album's genres and look at the charts.