Was this at me or tedsanders? My quick research on ted shows he appears to be real, and you can easily look at my history to see I'm human. If at me, I'm honored - first time being aicused
An e-reader is the only device I've ever actively wanted a big chunky separated bezel. For the longest time my oldest kindle has been the one I actually used despite no usb-c.
It's not at all clear to most Americans what the consequences are. This pipeline, for example, sounds like something Americans should welcome because it will finally allow Canada to offer its oil to the world market in significant quantities. It will allow Canada to export significantly more than they do now, pushing down prices. It wasn't built until now purely because of internal Canadian environmental concerns. If Canadians think it's a good idea to now destroy vast amounts of their forest to get to some of the most difficult to process oil in the world, then that's what it is and they get to make some money as a benefit. But it doesn't seem at all like some kind of rational reaction to American foreign policy.
The pipeline will both increase the price Canada gets for its oil by reducing the share the railways get from the price, and (very slightly) decrease the world price because of increased supply.
Splitting the earnings differently between Canada and Canadian railway companies is a zero–sum game. It just changes which company makes what percentage of the profit. The real win for Canada will be additional production. The Prime Minister of Canada stated that the new pipeline would allow them to “export an additional 1 million barrels a day to growing markets in Asia.” That’s a net benefit for everyone. It’s additional profits for Canadian society and increased supply on the world market.
The Trump presidency, and his absurd trade wars, are deeply unpopular in the US. I'd be shocked if most Canadians don't understand this fully and see Trumpism for the personality-driven anomaly that it is.
It isn't an anomaly. He was elected twice. He has done real damage. Hell, 1/3 of Americans don't even vote. Whether or not most Americans feel bad about it doesn't matter. Actual damage is being done.
The democrats have shown little desire or ability to reverse GOP foreign policy once they get into power. They normalize those policies and keep the seat warm for the next mad man.
Tariffs may be more politically feasible moving forward, but not these extreme tariffs and sudden trade wars that are driven by Trump's temper tantrums and benefit no one.
Pollsters estimate that Republicans still have >30% chance of retaining the Senate majority. (Better than what pollsters gave Trump before he won in 2016.)
This isn't a deeply unpopular anomaly. This is a significant chunk of America, and they may easily regain the majority if the economy improves in a few years (or if it worsens further under a Democratic president).
I agree. I would also say America is the way it's always been. With good and bad. America is not homogeneous. It is not simple. It is complex. It has and have always had, Neo-Nazis, and human rights champions. Poverty and wealth. Amazing educational institutes, and schools where kids stab each other. Conspiracy theorists, and smart reasonable people.
Reducing America to one simple statement is not possible.
"Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice, shame on me".
American re-elected him, despite the cronyism, jan 6, mental decline, etc. Combined with the democrats are so self defeating and they also repeatedly poked at trade issues (the loooooong running softwood lumber disputes, Keystone XL, "buy American" provisions that ignored NAFTA/USMCA for projects that were going ahead w/o the provisions, etc).
We know what populism is (we've experienced and are experiencing it ourselves) and know that it is usually fleeting, but we don't trust another "smarter" nativist president to come along and screw us again.
Also, there's an internal game going on here. Canada has (institutionally) took the "easy" way out of controversial projects, often due to our proximity to the US. This has meant that when some projects run into a greater than normal amount of political resistance (eg environmental fights against pipelines or LNG terminals), the default has usually been to back off. But Trump has in a way given cover to actually move forward.
I don't expect the next president to "cave" so easily. Even before he was sworn in, republicans had their messaging in full swing against Obama about the deficit. I fully expect the same thing to hammer the next president on trade if they're a democrat.
"most Canadians" as a demographic is unable to grasp complexity. They are being rallied to the flag and they rally. Like everyone else these days they all have their echo chambers. It's an easy sell. This is just human nature.
Current day politics are about polarization. More so than ever. There is no room for nuance. This is what worked for Trump and this is what worked for Carney and the Liberals in Canada. The Liberals didn't win on some brilliant policies they simply won on anti-American feelings.
This is not a statement on who is right or wrong. There are certainly many aspects of Trump's behaviour here that most would say are wrong. The problem is when we lose nuance and debate we can't make progress. But a leader in today's world that introduces nuance loses to the leader that polarizes. Dragging us all down.
The reality of trade and geography will shorten the timeframe.
Remember that the Canadians claimed to care a lot about climate change, and sending goods to Asian or Europe has a greater environmental cost than shipping to America.
Do you really think the Canadian government will stop advertising on YouTube and Facebook? The Canadian PM mainly does news with American companies...
I've been running Qwen 3.8 27b (an opus 4.6 tier model), locally on a 5090 for just over two weeks @ 170 tokens/s. That's a frontier model from 9 months ago running on consumer hardware. Who knows where distillation and pruning gets us in another year.
In all fairness there are probably a lot of folks who picked one up for around MSRP (even if one of the board partner cards with an MSRP 10-15% over the FE).
Local inference will have a boom of cheap, powerful, and available cards at some point (even if it isn’t until 2028/2029). At some point the hyperscalers, and frontier labs, will face the capex problems that everyone talks about, and NVidia, AMD, Apple, and Intel will want to keep selling products.
Powerful, by today’s standard, local inference needs to be accessible to really unlock the “AI” economy long term. It’s just like how the move from mainframes to the PC 40ish years ago unlocked the “computer revolution.”
Especially since a few trends will coincide: memory-optimized model architectures (to save on expensive/rare memory now) + memory glut (because the memory industry, despite its institutional memory, is ramping volume).
Once hyperscalers stop buying in the quantities they are now, there's going to be a lot of hardware supply to serve by then very hardware efficient models.
V100S 32GB, I have had Claude optimizing it for about a week and it is already at around 900 t/s prefill, 90-100 t/s output in Pi on coding tasks. There is also a Ninfer fork for the v100 but it requires a custom format. I am working on upstream Unsloth with GGUF 4-bit quant.
(I also have flash next running even faster on this machine, something a single 5090 can do, with expert cache/pinning, but not quite as fast) :)
$9k is a small price to pay to experience the rapturous glory of AGI. I'd easily pay up to 3 times that to comfortably run the superintelligent models released in this post RSI world.
Weird, I kinda gave up on 3.8 as anything other than a planner. I had it try to write some basic unit tests for an admittedly complex bit of code and it ran out of context thinking about the problem and exploring random parts of the code base repeatedly before it even wrote a single line. Toning down the thinking helped some, but then it wasn't much better than qwen coder.
The only swift variant I'm aware of is from ukisai, which uses the swift open license, and is NOT open for commercial use for businesses over $1mil. I'm respecting their choice by not using it for work, which means I'm also not using it for my personal projects in case I forget to switch models when I switch projects.
My day job doesn't have a dedicated enterprise contract with any of the ai vendors so I might trial it to see if it is worth promoting at the company. Part of me is still holding out hope that qwen 4 dials back the overthinking on its own.
> The only swift variant I'm aware of is from ukisai, which uses the swift open license,
Ah, I overlooked that, since I have a claude sub at work and all my explorations are purely personal. There's another fast version of 3.8: ThinkingCap[1] by bottlecapai but they have the same $1M restriction from what I can see since it's distributed under a PolyForm Small Business 1.0.0 + BottleCap personal-use grant.
Indistinguishable or very mildly better. But it's considerably faster. Some portion of that is also probably down to improvements in model harnesses, I've been using opencode.
I’m not an AI researcher, but it seems like there’s a ton of waste having a universal model that knows everything when any individuals use case requires like generously 10% of what’s stored in the model. Does it even need to have memorized knowledge stored in the model or could it just look up info and docs like humans do? If all you need is the language and intelligence, I think Opus5.5 equivalent intelligence will run on an iPhone within 5 years.
People say ChatGPT generates images with a yellow tint. The person you are replying to is suggesting that these images have a yellow tint and therefore this model is distilled from ChatGPT.
yes - I don't want to publicize what I know. I worked briefly at a leading university bio lab. It's haunted me for awhile that it would only take 1 disgruntled postdoc to wipe out humanity. There are {AI things} now that will tell you how.
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