This is also the reason why I avoid using analogies when making an argument. Usually, instead of talking about the argument itself we end up discussing under what circumstances the analogy works and when it doesn't.
Interesting point (arguments do frequently devolve into pointless meta-arguments), but I'd be surprised if you can totally avoid analogies. Analogies are extremely powerful. They're arguably all we have when it comes to reasoning.
Ironically, Segal's Law, which you seem to approve of, is itself an analogy. I don't think anyone here is really concerned with knowing what time it is or whether or not it's a good idea to wear two watches.
No, not really. It's like, if you go to the store and realize you forgot your wallet, would you say we're talking about a wallet? No, we're talking about a trip to the store.
> When I was a younger developer I thought tooling solved all problems. As I grew more experience I slowly changed my mind that some problem spaces require not only tooling but process change.
Lets take it one step further.
You start out thinking everything is tooling. As you grow more experienced you realize that everything is process. As you grow more experienced still, you realize that the world is really messy and rarely ever anything is everything.
Of course the world is messy and there are many variables. I still sit in the camp that documentation is a human problem that requires both tooling and process. I wish Outline luck but on the documentation side, its largely a human/process one.
In the immediate term, yes. But there has to be some point at which an objective board would see that terminating their relationship with Musk would be a long term positive.
I’m not saying we’re there yet but it does feel like we’re marching towards it (I'm also not saying the Tesla board are objective because I doubt they are)
If they fired Musk, he would wage a never-ending scorched earth campaign against Tesla, and as an executive he definitely has access to a lot of internal information that would allow him to inflict a ton of damage. At this point their only practical choice is to maintain the status quo by submitting to his demands.
This is so stupid but you’re probably correct. The board will do whatever he wants because that is the nature of having no collective spine. You cannot stand up.
That point is when Tesla starts declining in absolute terms. And Tesla grew 35% in 2023. To be a long-term positive, dismissing Musk should produce even higher growth rates- which sounds extremely implausible. Conversely, the probability of Tesla falling into irrelevance in a future without Musk is extremely high.
He's not immortal. I assume that when there's a risk of him disappearing from the picture, Tesla investors will be heading for the lifeboats, tanking it in the process.
I would event go as far as say that the main reason behind the tweet is not to show regret, but to plant the idea that he didn't orchestrate but only participate.
Adverts cost $450k a day (according to gaming articles on Xbox's advert in October), they also have 18,600 seats inside the LV Sphere for "immersive experiences".
