Of course we can, we can simply speak out what steps are we doing to add numbers and it will correlate pretty much exactly to the actual actions done. Can tell to a similar query that first I add 5+6 and get 11, then I write down 1 and carry 1 to the next decimal space. Then I add 5+6 plus 1 I carried, then get 12 and write 121 as a final answer. That's the description of the real addition process I did in my head.
LLMs on the other hand will do some pretty unconventional stuff, like estimating the closest numbers not exactly matching, then evaluating probability spread of their low-precision sums, create some lookup tables, then do some dances combining this and that, making a higher precision estimations in a sequence, and eventually arriving to a single result. But no LLM will reply with these procedure steps to the simple "explain how you did it" query, simply because it is way less probable answer, therefore it won't be chosen.
To adequately validate work you must be at least at the same level, so if you were right (which dunning-kruger suggests unlikely) that would mean your "terrible" average employee is given a tool that will 10x their output which they cannot even check for correctness. And correctness will be low if the average employee is bad like you say, because it means they will give badly specified tasks and even with the best of us it's garbage in, garbage out. I am sure there is no way this can backfire.
All enablers also enable mediocrity. That's not new. At least when the non-mediocre engineer has to work with someone, they can have a tireless responsive partner.
I find this varies by individual, but the AI taking care of so much boilerplate and rote work of coding, and taking the role of architect, test designer, and reviewer is a lot more productive for me. Check the code may take the same skill, but it's an order of magnitude less work.
Perhaps if you need that much boilerplate it's not going to be a well-architected codebase in the first place. Abstract it out, make a lib out of it. Easier to review & test in separation. Loose coupling, high cohesion.
They actually do though. First thing to learn when swiping is what's worth swiping, and if no one will buy an iphone paper weight then it's not worth the risk.
That might account for a small set of scenarios, most times they just go for whatever sticks to their hand, in pockets/purses, without knowing what they'll get. As long as there's devices that can be monetized they will attempt to steal them if they cannot make sure it's not worth it.
And this would account for pros, let alone newbs in stealing, or just irrational behavior, or people who just enjoy creating harm with no gain.
I think this is a case where the justification is weak and in reality it's more about greed and control on Apple's side rather than some potential benefit that is actually seriously diluted by a lot of other not mentioned factors.
I agree that all the random factors you mentioned exist, and the proportion to random vs targeted theft would be an interesting debate, but there's solid evidence for significant targeted theft. The fencers tell the thieves what to look for.
Yeah it's like saying "home invaders don't know if there is anything good inside they just choose houses at random." The point of the theft is to get something out of it.
I've thankfully never had my house robbed, or a cell phone or laptop stolen. I have had my car broken into. The thieves chucked a paving stone through the window, grabbed a backpack sitting on the passenger's seat, and ran off with it. Left the paving stone in the driver's seat. The backpack had my gym clothes in it. A T-shirt I was rather fond of, a pair of shorts, a few extra pairs of socks, and a shitty pair of sneakers, all were well worn.
Replacing the backpack and gym clothes was probably $100, market value was maybe $10, and it was $507 to fix the window. (my deductible was $500.)
I thought you were going to say "but they ignored the $100 textbook on the dashboard" or something. The anecdote doesn't demonstrate anything. How much of an inconvenience the theft was for you is not a factor for the thief. They got $10 by chucking a rock through a window, and they only lost the opportunity cost of choosing a different victim.
They had to take the cumulative risk of getting caught though - one well-targeted burglary to take a designer handbag or diamond necklace would earn that thief as much as the indiscriminate 'stealing nwallin's gym clothes' thief would make in a year, as long as they had the network to sell the contraband on without incriminating themselves.
That risk is there regardless of what they steal. The kind of thieves who break into cars are low-effort-random-reward. They have neither the patience nor the skill nor the resources for the kind of planning you're referring to. Yes, the bag didn't contain much valuable. A different bag might have. Had the thief known that for a fact beforehand they probably wouldn't have bothered.
Translated tweet text from Japanese gaming Youtuber Shinjisan:
"I checked out the reviews on Steam now that you can see them by country, and I noticed that for almost every game, the reviews from Japan were overwhelmingly negative compared to others. (China and Japan seem to be particularly harsh.)
However, when I read the content of the negative reviews, many of them were surprisingly reasonable. Upon digging into the reasons, it seems like people in Japan tend to leave negative reviews to voice complaints, but they don’t bother leaving positive reviews for games they enjoyed.
In short, it just looks like harsh ratings due to a lack of positive reviews. (Giving a negative review to something you didn’t find fun isn’t necessarily a bad thing.)
Steam’s review ratings often impact game sales, and because of Japan’s harsh reviews, some developers apparently avoid Japanese localization during early access or initial release to avoid getting reviewed at that stage.
What I’m trying to say is, if you get into the habit of leaving a positive review—even just a short one—for games you enjoyed, game companies might be more inclined to support Japanese localization sooner or treat us more kindly (⋈◍＞◡＜◍)。♡.
I’ll keep up my habit of leaving positive reviews for fun games whenever I remember to do so. Best regards."
In my observation, reviews (in general) are different in Japan. Look at something simple like google maps reviews of restaurants or clinics. The bad reviews are often extremely personal and not really representative of what most people would experience.
"I really didn't want to speak with anyone or make eye contact, but the staff cheerfully greeted me and seemed to want to talk to me. One staff even looked at me from behind the counter while I was drinking my coffee." >> One star
12 years later and still no availability in Middle East or Africa. Only available in 30-something countries. Google can't figure out retail, while upstart Chinese companies hit the global market immediately.
If you buy it in a country that's not officially supported you don't get 5G, most unique features, and of course no warranty, support, or repairs.
Something crazy I've experience is when I swam in an outdoors pool every morning early for a while. This involves several temperature shocks, like jumping into the shower (hot), then walking from the shower to the pool (cold), then jumping into the pool (very cold initially, then ok), then walking back to the shower then showering again. This whole routine happens over just 60 minutes.
Other than the overall health and wellness I got I normally associated with exercise, and improved breathing because of swimming, I felt immune to temperature discomfort! After a while, the routine itself didn't bother, nor walking 15 minutes from the parking lot to my office under 50C summer sun at noon. I could go out in winter in any clothes I want.
It was very noticable and very specific. Sensitivity to temperature itself may be a form of unfitness.
These kinds of theories along with "you just need to acclimate to it" always hit a wall when they meet me, someone in great shape who grew up around Houston (where it's miserable) and sweats all day unless it's <80F with no humidity.
Right now I live on a beach that's 85F outside and I will be the only person profusely sweating tonight while most people don't even seem to have a sheen. I first noticed it when I moved to this beach newly single and was going on dates—it's a little confusing/embarrassing looking like you swam to the date yet nobody else is sweating.
Every once in a while I meet someone like me with a body made for the Swiss mountains. And every once in a while I meet the polar opposite: someone who can walk around in the Texas summer with pants and a polo.
I think it's 90% genetic. And muscle mass only makes you sweat more.
You're probably right, but my point was more specific than general fitness means less sensitivity to temperature. I haven't experience that either.
I meant the specific many temperature shocks daily (hot to cold to coldest to ok to cold to hot) absolutely changed the way I feel temperature. I still knew it was hot but I wasn't uncomfortable at all.
For the same reason I'm against capital punishment. I don't trust the state with the due dilegence to have direct power over life and death. What happens when care is available but insurance figures assisted death is cheaper? The fact that someone could look at the healthcare system and say "give them the option to kill people" is wild. You can say whatever you want about criteria and process, then I want you to think of the million ways things go wrong when lofty goals are transformed into bureaucracy.
I think you viewpoint is very reasonable. There is way too little focus on 'how can this be missused' and 'what are the incentives'. More often than not the critique is hand waived away with some hard on crime tough talk.
Me neither. That's why I'm glad that in any jurisdiction I've seen it available, it always comes down to the patient's choice.
> I want you to think of the million ways things go wrong
Nothing is perfect but if someone is suffering months or potentially years of pain I'm glad that they have the option to choose to end it legally.
> The fact that someone could look at the healthcare system and say "give them the option to kill people" is wild.
Nobody says that, maybe that's why it seems so wild. It's the patient that has the option, not the system. "Give patients the choice of end of life treatment that they prefer" is more like it.
> due dilegence to have direct power over life and death
How do you feel about police carrying firearms with authority to kill base on high pressure, low time, individual decision making?
Assisted death is sometimes used by people who don't have a terminal illness. And there's the worry that insurance is more likely to deny treatment coverage now that a cheaper alternative (assisted death) is available.
>The nonprofit organization Inclusion Canada regularly hears from people with disabilities who are offered euthanasia, including one disabled woman whose physiotherapist suggested it when she sought help for a bruised hip, said executive vice president Krista Carr.
>“Our response to the intolerable suffering of people with disabilities is: ‘Your life is not worth living,'” she said. “We’ll just offer them the lethal injection, and we’ll offer it readily.”
Do you think insurance companies are not already doing that, just without the fast way out for the patients, so they are left to live in pain? The current reality of not paying for the assisted suicide is cheaper than the potential of paying for it; how much would it really change behavior?
>Do you think insurance companies are not already doing that, just without the fast way out for the patients, so they are left to live in pain?
Just because something bad is already happening doesn't mean it's ok to do something that will make it happen more frequently.
Not to mention the many people who will get assisted suicide who don't have coverage denied, and/or don't have a terminal illness, potentially due to encouragement/coercion from doctors, nurses, family, insurance, etc.
>The current reality of not paying for the assisted suicide is cheaper than the potential of paying for it; how much would it really change behavior?
Now the insurance companies have something cheap to offer. So it gives them an excuse not to offer something better.
Seems like you are opposed to it because it will end up being used solely because it will be the cheaper option. So just make it not the cheaper option. Allow it, but make it expensive so the insurance companies don’t consider it before other treatments.
So put a giant tax on it? That is an interesting idea. I'm pretty sure the people who say it's a right will fight that.
And there's also the question of how big the tax should be. Someone with an illness that requires expensive treatment but is expected to not die for a long time might cost the insurance company millions in treatment. Would that tax be millions?
One problem would be in the case of government-run healthcare, or government-run insurance. In that case, to what extent would the tax just be taking money out of one of the government's pockets and putting it in the other? I'm not sure that would disincentive it.
In fact, some doctors, nurses, might consider it good to help fund the government, and thus it might almost be an incentive for them to do it.
Indeed, and insurance is already highly regulated. It doesn't seem like it would be very hard to basically say, "you can't consider assisted suicide as an alternative option when making coverage decisions."
Will it still happen somewhat? Yeah probably, but there's also the very real suffering of a human being that needs to be considered. Telling them, "no sorry you have to have a painful and prolonged and undignified death because an insurance company might misuse the option if we give it to you" is pretty messed up IMHO
It's hard to recommend games when you don't have a baseline taste. The past couple of years having a demo became very common on Steam, so I suggest trying some demos.
You've played a 2D platformer and a multiplayer shooter, two very popular genres with massive offerings. If you're interested in more along the same lines, just off the top of my head I'll say try Hollow Knight as a 2D platformer, and Overwatch 2 as a multiplayer shooter (this one is free). Overwatch 2 may be overwhelming for someone new to gaming.
There is a genre called cozy games for more relaxed experiences, like Journey. There are also turn-based roguelikes, and for those I would recommend Balatro.
I don't know about Ubuntu or Linux compatbility so look into that, but I know Steam's OS and Proton have made massive strides.
Then more along those lines is the walking simulator genre. It's called walking simulator generally because combat is not emphasized, with focus on immersion, exploration, and narrative. How puzzly it is varies from not at all to all about the puzzles.
Steam has awesome genre pages so you can search by tag then go to the tag's page and you can see what's hot right now in the genre, what's top selling of all time, what has demos etc. that's why I'm mentioning all the genres.
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