Hacker Newsnew | past | comments | ask | show | jobs | submit | timeisapear's commentslogin

https://ballcast.app

Hosting an XGBoost-model for MLB totals predictions. It runs every thirty minutes: incorporating weather at the hyperlocal level and joins with player attributes that are provably affected by that weather. It also provides advanced decision-making tools with a Kelly Criterion calculator built in. Model still needs some calibration for bet-sizing but is very close to production-ready.

Robust historical evaluations available at https://ballcast.app/validation


Yes. AIFS directly by ECMWF and AIGEFS by NOAA. Every vibecoded weather app these days has them. Google those terms you’ll find them.


Anything more daily human friendly/consumable?



Isn’t this parent comment generated by AI?


I know you are AI, but what am I?


You sound like a candidate for asylum? Despite the administration policy, asylum law is still on the books. Might be good to get an application in and cross your fingers for a subsequently more friendly admin.


Based on Ilia's post on the "Who's wants to be hired?" thread, he's currently based in Portugal.


I am, yes. As I said, I am aware of my privilege and even though I might technically theoretically be a valid asylum case It would feel like abusing a system designed to help people in actual dire need. So even though I am more than willing to relocate, I would definitely NOT do that through the asylum process.


Ilia, first of all, from what you've written today, you come across to me like a decent principled person and that's rare nowadays. I admire that.

That said, if I may offer you my $0.02: systems exist for us to fallback on. You might know yourself and your situation best but sometimes the best way to not drown is to take a lifeline even if you know how to swim. I completely understand not wanting to take-up the space of someone in greater need but let the bureaucrats make that call.

I'm not very smooth with words but what I'm saying is, I encourage you to apply for social support systems nonetheless. That's not just specifically the asylum process but I'm sure there are other programs in the EU (for instance) where you might qualify. It wouldn't hurt your situation, let the bureaucrats make the call, I don't think anyone will take it against you.

Best of luck.


>> like a decent principled person and that's rare nowadays. I admire that

They could be a russian spy as well. You never know if he has an assignment from fsb/gru.


I don’t know about being more tired than the model, but when I’ve had a particularly productive session, I feel more tired (brain fog) than during a coding session. Probably because I’ve replaced brainless typing with the cognitive load of decision-making and weighing plan approaches.


I think we need an official HN response. This is a legitimate video game, which happens to be satire. If we as a community cannot handle this, I don't know if I want to be a part of it anymore, even though I've been here since 2014.



Is MapLibre GL a cheaper (free?) open source alternative?

Cool stuff btw. I’m trying to visualize weather model data myself (millions of points) at https://futureradar.net and have been researching client-side techniques like yours.


This was a favorite when I was growing up: "The Value of Believing in Yourself: The Story of Louis Pasteur"

https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/196827.The_Value_of_Beli...


If you liked that growing up, then this one about the same historical figure (Pasteur) might be of interest (later in life), since it seems to tell, according to the comments, "the rest of the story":

"Bechamp or Pasteur? A Lost Chapter in the History of Biology"

(4.8/5 stars, 406 total ratings, 68 with reviews) at https://www.amazon.com/Bechamp-Pasteur-Chapter-history-biolo...


TLDR: We knew micrometeorites would happen, just not one this big so soon. We've corrected four small ones already. We barely got away with correcting this one, because luckily there is a large performance margin built into the image gathering pipeline. We're studying how many more big whoopsies might occur and what effect that might have on the telescope's future.

I wonder if having an impact that was larger than modeled so early on in JWST's mission is a foreboding sign for its lifespan.


I wonder as well.... 10 billion is pocket change. Should have built 2.


Consider applying for YC's Winter 2027 batch! Applications are open till November 2.

Guidelines | FAQ | Lists | API | Security | Legal | Apply to YC | Contact

Search: