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It is remarkable how much long-term advantage people like us have gotten by trying to be consistently not stupid, instead of trying to be very intelligent.

-- Charlie Munger


This reminds me of the book The Checklist Manifesto and the show Air Crash Investigation.


My first thought when I read the title was "Sounds a lot like the non-normal checklists they use in aviation" :D


I was also about to come here and say "this sounds a lot like a checklist". The Checklist Manifesto is one of those books that should be really boring but is both valuable and well written and I recommend to everyone.


The book is overlong for what it has to say, and stuffed with things that are not really checklists (architect's building plans).

Fortunately there is a better version with not just all the meat, but also the best anecdotes included: Gawande's original article in The New Yorker.

https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2007/12/10/the-checklist


The way people chew gum


Chewing gum is largely an American phenomenon and seems to be past its peak even there. I'd be surprised if the number of gum chewers doesn't drop over the next 50 years.

I'll readily grant that the motion of the jaws is unlikely to change though, at least until Zuck figures out a way to sell virtual gum in the Metaverse.


         Internet Boom (Confounder)
         /             \
        /               \
       /                 \
 Software Engineers ----> Successful CEOs


Note that it's the 'confounder' not an internet boom cofounder, though that's also true.


Thank you for using a causal diagram. A tool so few understand but so many can benefit from. Cuts to the heart of the argument and eliminates all the bullshit.


Just finished reading Ben Thompson's Intel Problems, and I see this ¯\_(ツ)_/¯


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