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Chavez/Maduro style democratic populism was based on expensive social welfare programmes targeted at the poor, funded by oil revenues.

Some would call this well-intentioned socialism, others clientist bribery. But it doesn't really matter. What matters is that these programmes were affordable only when the price of oil was sky-high. When the price of oil collapsed a few years ago, they became unaffordable.

At this point, the government needed to make substantial cuts to the size of the state and its welfare programmes to stabilise its finances. However, such cuts are just not really possible for this kind of government: The entire basis of its power is a huge web of political patronage and self-enrichment, sitting on top of a mass of impoverished supporters. Money is the only thing that makes the system work.

Thus, the government attempted to maintain its spending through borrowing and enlargement of the money supply. Their hope was that, eventually, oil prices would rebound enough to restore the lost revenue and stabilise the economy. As they waited, their domestic and foreign opponents saw an opportunity to make the situation worse for them through measures like sanctions. However, the debt and printing of money would have lead to financial crisis sooner or later.



>expensive social welfare programmes targeted at the poor, funded by oil revenues.

If they'd stuck with that things could have gone ok. There was way more disfunction and crackpot economics.


You're missing the bits about mismanagement, nationalization of productive resources thereby making them dysfunctional, price fixing, terrible monetary policy, dismantling democracy, authoritarian tendencies, hysterical anti-American populism, messing with elections, shutting down journalists etc. etc..

"As they waited, their domestic and foreign opponents saw an opportunity to make the situation worse for them through measures like sanctions. "

America is not an enemy of Venezuela and does not want to hurt them.

Canada is also working with the US on sanctions and here is the motivation from Gov. Canada website [1]:

"After democratic elections held in December 2015 saw a coalition of opposition parties win a majority in the National Assembly, the Venezuelan government proceeded to systematically strip the powers of the National Assembly. In January 2016, President Nicolas Maduro declared a state of emergency and has since been ruling by decree."

Tip of the iceberg.

[1] http://www.international.gc.ca/sanctions/countries-pays/vene...


Thank you for your response - I 100% agree with your assessment of the situation.

Ps. I wish I was able to write as well as yourself.




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