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> Of course, no, they aren’t down, it’s just that people that absolutely should be going to the hospital aren’t and they’re endangering their lives trying to avoid COVID-19.

Do we have any clear data for this link of causality? Isn't it just one guess among many as to why?

It is unlikely single factor explains the entirety of the changes in these metrics and I actually doubt healthcare usage reluctance will turn out to be the primary factor.



Here in Spain it's almost impossible to see a doctor if you're not dropping dead.

If I try to book an appointment with my GP it tells me I can't, they only do over the phone consultancies unless it's an emergency.

So at least here it's not even reluctance but rather the lack of possibility to see a doctor.


Those differences are so wild!

Here in Germany it was easy for my partner to get an appointment at her GP. She also asked and that particular GP didn’t see a single COVID case. Not every German city is like that, certainly, but that shows what a difference in the lived experience different reaction times, measures and luck played.




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