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You can see lots of things about Putin, but being irrational is not one of them.

Putin behavior makes lots of sense. In fact way more sense that European leaders for example.

For example: https://www.world-nuclear-news.org/Articles/Putin-German-nuc...

There is a video of that more than ten years ago.

Here Putin was saying that Germany energy strategy was nuts and he was right. How stupid some leader could be to make her country dependent on outside countries for something as strategic as energy?

Putin told everybody what he thought about Ukraine. http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/66181

Even the "I will push the nuclear button because I have nothing to loose" is pretty rational. It worked wonders multiple times.

Just because he is our enemy now does not mean he is stupid. He is not.



I would never make the mistake of thinking him stupid, but the power structure underneath him pervades his visibility and makes him do irrational things. Seriously, watch the lecture I linked.


Could the same be said of Washington bureaucracy? After all, we have a tremendous record of foreign policy blunders over the last 25 years or so.


It's not exactly the same, but similar enough. This is because institutions warp incentives. Holding institutions accountable is the primary way you combat that.




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