Yes but what I’m saying is all fixed rate debt prices in interest rate risk. Any one creditor could be in a bad spot, but a creditor holding lots of fixed rate debt can / should be hedging against that risk.
When we’re talking about institutions with billions of dollars (and not joe lending Bobby $20), I wouldn’t call them a loser unless they specifically failed to properly hedge their positions.
How would you hedge interest rate risk on trillions of dollars in US treasuries? Who takes the other side of that trade, and why? I don’t think that sort of hedge exists.
I don’t really know what specifically you’re referring to. I’m not aware of anybody trying to hedge trillions in treasuries in one trade. I’m not aware of anybody even holding trillions in treasuries except maybe a few foreign countries.
Hedging is done at the portfolio level using derivatives. This allows you to move your unwanted exposure to interest rate risk (or just about any kind of risk) to someone else in exchange for a premium. Whoever is taking that risk off your hands probably has a more diverse portfolio and wants the premium (ie their risk profile is different). In this manner, large fixed-rate creditors shouldn’t be largely exposed to rising interest rates, because they’ve been hedging that risk all along.
When we’re talking about institutions with billions of dollars (and not joe lending Bobby $20), I wouldn’t call them a loser unless they specifically failed to properly hedge their positions.