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> how much would Nvidia spending $100M on "open" models boost spending on graphics cards?

Probably not as much as in a zero-sum game where everyone is trying to train their own model. Every leap in CPU inference makes this an increasingly less appealing option for them.

But I agree, some industry consortium might try to do it. I think they would first have to be relying heavily on LLMs before they were willing to do that, and its possible by then that the lead will have gotten too large to easily surmount, especially now that everyone has stopped publishing.



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