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maybe it could happen 4 or so times times in 30 years.


We've had many more events within an order of magnitude of these events' measured/reconstructed primary energy. The spectrum is a power law. While theoretically something completely different could be happening in the atmosphere of you add 2-10x the energy, there's really no indication thereof. Auger also has high energy event detected by multiple detection methods, not just the "standard" water-cherenkov or scintillator ground stations.




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