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> Has anyone tried applying these same techniques to the 2-color 4-state case?

I assume you mean the 4-color case. As I understand it, the deciders currently in use are sufficient to prove all the 2×4 holdouts non-halting. So the current champion gives us Σ(2,4) = 2,050 and S(2,4) = 3,932,964, barring some big errors in the decider design. The result just hasn't been organized in one place.

> (6-state 2-color and 2-state 5-color both seem intractable, perhaps even provably so.)

Yes, 2×5 has the Hydra, and 6×2 has the Antihydra, which compute the same iteration, but with different starting points and halting conditions. The standard conjecture (related to Mahler's 3/2 problem) is that this iteration is uniformly distributed mod 2, and a proof of that conjecture would very likely prove both machines non-halting, by yielding suprema and infima on the cumulative ratio of 0s to 1s. But of course there is no known method of proof.



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