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They're not remotely comparable problem sets.

Tesla's generalized driving algorithm vs Waymo's cherry-picked routes and ideal weather.

Tesla is winning. And the gap is getting wider.



I would bet more in a company who figured out the last 20% in a specific city than a company stuck on the first 80% generally.


Waymo does not have cherry picked routes - it has a defined ODD inside which is ANY route can be driven fully unsupervised.

This necessarily involves some kind of generalized driving algorithm but more usefully, it gives you a clear goal and distribution to measure against.


The defined ODD is essentially cherry-picking the routes.


Sure, if the powerset of all roads in a major city is "cherry-picking" to you. The rest of us just call that driving.


Waymo works perfectly fine in the rain. No driver.




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