A quarter of all new code? Of course. Especially if you include all "smart autocomplete" code.
When dealing with a fermenting pile of technical debt? I expect very little. LLM's don't have application-wide context yet.
AI is definitely revolutionizing our field, but the same people that said that no-code tools and all of the other hype-of-the-decade technologies would make developers jobless are actually the people AI is making jobless.
Generate an opinion piece about how AI is going to make developers jobless, using AI? Less than a minute. And you don't need to maintain that article, once it's published, it's done.
While there's a tsunami of AI-generated almost-there projects coming that need to be moved to a shippable and sellable state. So I'm more afraid about the kind of work I'm going to get while still getting paid handsomely for my skills, than ever being jobless as the only guy that really understands the whole stack from top to bottom.
At the end of the day an LLM is just a compiler anyway. The developer isn't going away even if 100% of the code is generated by LLMs, just as the developer didn't go away when we stopped spending our days flipping toggle switches.
I'm actually surprised that _the others_ always think that the programmers somehow will make themselves obsolete first? If it gets cheaper to make software, more software will be made, until we reach the point again we're running short on people capable enough to keep it all running.
When dealing with a fermenting pile of technical debt? I expect very little. LLM's don't have application-wide context yet.
AI is definitely revolutionizing our field, but the same people that said that no-code tools and all of the other hype-of-the-decade technologies would make developers jobless are actually the people AI is making jobless.
Generate an opinion piece about how AI is going to make developers jobless, using AI? Less than a minute. And you don't need to maintain that article, once it's published, it's done.
While there's a tsunami of AI-generated almost-there projects coming that need to be moved to a shippable and sellable state. So I'm more afraid about the kind of work I'm going to get while still getting paid handsomely for my skills, than ever being jobless as the only guy that really understands the whole stack from top to bottom.