I think the core disconnect is that the current tech paradigm is writing broad scope feature packed programs (and it kind of needs to be that way). One stop shops for every need that the broadest possible customer base could have, while minimizing time that needs to be spent on support.
But I don't see that being the future. Instead I think people will just spin up bespoke ultra narrow scope programs (maybe scripts is more fitting here, but people like GUIs - scripts with GUIs?) that are generally under 3K LOC.
You don't need an AI to one-shot Excel.exe if you just want a simple way to track how many plastic pellets came in today, and how many went out. A GUI on a simple program on an SQlite database will do that no problem. And you can ditch that bloated excel doc you have been using for years.
At my own company we forwent a proprietary CAD package because Claude could decode the files we had, make a GUI for doing the transformation we needed to do, and properly reencode the file.
But I don't see that being the future. Instead I think people will just spin up bespoke ultra narrow scope programs (maybe scripts is more fitting here, but people like GUIs - scripts with GUIs?) that are generally under 3K LOC.
You don't need an AI to one-shot Excel.exe if you just want a simple way to track how many plastic pellets came in today, and how many went out. A GUI on a simple program on an SQlite database will do that no problem. And you can ditch that bloated excel doc you have been using for years.
At my own company we forwent a proprietary CAD package because Claude could decode the files we had, make a GUI for doing the transformation we needed to do, and properly reencode the file.