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>'ve been having similar thoughts about software engineering since one effect of LLMs is they make senior devs very productive, they make junior devs superfluous

Well that's the pitch they want to throw at you. Actual studies disagree.

>Maybe the same thing happens to manufacturing, and we just get rid of craftsmanship, machining, and logistics, and have everybody 3D-print their appliances in a factory-in-a-box they keep at their home, just shipping filament and chips and other raw materials directly to them.

I legitmately think we will hit General AI before we have anything close to this. We simply don't have the resources needed on an individual bases to faciliate everyone being a "factory worker at home".



Look at how miserably AI fails at any kind of CAD work and you may reconsider.


I think AI may actually work really well for CAD. Purely text based prompts won't work. But a mix of touch and AR together with voice input could be extremely productive.


Nonstarter, everybody hates VR


There's no reason to think this will continue to be the case for long.


It seems like current approaches have already reached a plateau. Either something new will work better soon... or there will be another long wait.


none? not a single reason at all?




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