Speculation of what? There are models today that perform better than Haiku at 47x lower cost.

Excessive skepticism does no good.

speculation of cost decreases and performance increases in a matching trend year-over-year

comparable capability has gotten cheaper.

gpt 6 Luna can be swapped for 5.6 terra or even sol in some cases, and it is much cheaper.

source: i have a lot of evals, and i have ai find the best model for me for those evals over time so i save $ lol