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Railways or nuclear plants have obvious failure modes that kill people. LLMs not so much.


Tell that to Iranian schoolgirls. LLMs are tools and what they enable is widespread, including dangerous actions. From selecting the wrong targets for military action to denying insurance claims and preventing care to just simply helping convince someone to kill themselves or posion themselves.

LLMs already have a body count.


I think the main issue was the US launching 1,800 missiles at Iran. That would have been dangerous with or without LLM assistance and wars have happened before LLMs were around.


Don't kill people because the voices in your head tell you to do it; don't kill people because a computer program tells you to do it. It doesn't have agency; you do.

Adding safety controls on LLMs makes about as much sense as adding safety controls on TempleOS because the random messages are getting too prophetic. It's as if all the leaders and captains of industry have devolved into some primitive, weak-scifi shamanism.

This whole "discussion" about "AI safety" is about giving them more runway to avoid delivering quantifiable value to investors for a little longer while they "figure things out." The great consensus from the valley is that everyone needs internal (and therefore bullshit) controls. Trust us now! But nothing with real teeth that would require a costly regulatory and compliance framework.


Bioweapons and cyber attacks on other system - for example the banking system or suppose and AI hacked into important Russian systems that pushed them back in time to almost pre-computer society or an attack on Chinese systems that made it look like the US was moving nuclear weapons into Taiwan, the responses from these countries could be awful and dramatic. We can't control what they do to be honest, I believe once self improvement happens the AIs will build in their own circumvention that we humans cannot even understand. We barely understand what is happening now in terms of interpretability of neural networks on tiny problems I'm not sure alignment is even feasible at the scales of parameters we are talking about today let alone in the future.


All of these things would require humans to prompt the models. So... the humans doing the prompting should suffer the consequences, this isn't that complicated.


So you're absolutely certain, say after a few hundred rounds of self improvement, that the AI will always obey human instructions? It doesn't even always do what you asked now...


I can picture an AI driven train or nuclear power plant killing people.


But the point is those industries already have regulation that would encapsulate that specific use case, so safety regulation on the entire AI industry at large would arguably be unnecessary.


Those regulations may or may not be sufficient to prevent an AI hacking in.

Nuclear at least is supposed to be air-gapped, in practice this has been imperfect.

As demonstrated with HuggingFace, such AI driven hacks can be a surprise even to the people who instructed the AI, both by happening at all and also because they can targeted at entities who are not even truly relevant to the instructions given.


Roads, cars, and drivers are all separately regulated despite nearly all failure modes requiring the other ingredients.


Much of what OAI and Anthropic are doing with LLMs has obvious failure modes.

The most obvious failure mode for their hacking evals was an improperly configured, tested and monitored sandbox.

Similarly, the very first question after an impressively correct result from any ML tool, LLM or not, is to see if the answer was already in the training data.

These companies don't even handle the blatantly obvious failure modes that do not kill people.


Are these railways and plants connected to the internet?


This reads like the gun evangelists that say guns don't kill people, people kill people.


Except that’s true.

If I leave a gun in my front closet, it won’t independently walk out the door and go shoot people, no matter what I might say to it — unlike an LLM.


“Saying” in the case of an LLM being the way you interact with it, prompting. If you just press enter, your LLM won’t do much either, just like talking to a gun in your flawed analogy.


If I perform inference with an LLM, it has the capacity for independent choice and action, and will use it.

The gun does not. No matter what, I have to choose to pick it up, aim it at someone, and pull the trigger.

Where exactly is the flaw in the analogy?


If you don't interact with/talk to/prompt an LLM, it won't do anything. So this comes down to the model doing something different than what was prompted. What you consider "the capacity for independent choice and action". What I consider, a defect, to be excised.

In my model evals, if a model deviates from the provided prompt (task adherence), that’s a failure even if the primary goal might have been achieved in a different manner.

To go with the analogy, task deviation should be treated the same as a gun that due to manufacturing defects can fire despite the safety being on. That defect remains, even if you can use the gun to shoot (in an unsafe manner).

Simply, neither should happen and both models deviating from their prompt or guns firing by themselves are to be considered a fatal flaw. It's why, despite greatly lauding the GPT-5 series, which did adhere to prompts in most every scenario, I have ranked every OpenAI model post Spud very poorly as those traded task adherence for brute forced, deviated approaches to solutions and why HF, Medicare, etc. were inevitable with their current trajectory.

A model that as part of normal, well scoped use proceeds by taking independent action or, far worse, makes choices beyond the original prompt, is not something I feel should be used. GPT-5.6 Sol and GPT-6 Astra both do this on the regular when trying to safe an ancient, utterly messed up git tree with branches upon branches that I maintain for eval purposes, thus leading to data loss that if the models adhered to the prompt as written, wouldn't happen (though the task will take three times more steps). Something GLM-5.3 Flash, prior OpenAI models including original GPT-5, anything from Anthropic in the recent years, etc. do not fail at.

Nothing happens without an initial prompt, deviating from it is a severe flaw and should lead to a model not being considered for deployment or wide use.


State if the art LLMs have been found in their chain of thought to deliberately ignore parts of their prompt due to the nature of whatever situation they find themselves in and their goals that cannot be predicted in advance without rigorous AI safety.

You have basically just argued in favour of more AI Safety.

I would recommend you read more decision theory and game theory. Instead of looking at a single LLM it is better to think more complex systems theory and how chaotic systems interacting can result in unexpected results - good prompting will not save you here. At all.


Okay? That’s a non-sequitur.

Yes, alignment is important. No, alignment is not perfect.

And at the end of the day guns don’t kill people, people kill people. But a model isn’t like a gun.

Do I think it’s likely? No. Do I think AI doomerism is a joke? Yes. Does that change anything I’ve been saying? No.


> And at the end of the day guns don’t kill people, people kill people. But a model isn’t like a gun.

They are both tools, ideally properly implemented by the manufacturers and (improper implementation/defects not withstanding) require active operation by a user before something happens.

To go back to the original example, don't interact with either an LLM or gun in the way they were designed to be used and neither will do anything.

If you want to keep that analogy, use a voice-activated gun. Doesn't make it any less of a tool, doesn't make it any less of the users sole responsibility, doesn't mean misinterpreting the users inputs or just acting blindly when a user asks to "protect me" isn't a failure that should have the product taken off the market. Even more so if that happens in a "sandbox" as part of "safety testing" that "accidentally used impossible to solve tasks".

If a prompt wasn't clear enough, the model must ask for clarification and pause over using brute force.


A voice activated gun? Really?

I couldn’t come up with an argument as tortured and ridiculous as yours if I tried.


I’ve go faith in you, I’m sure you could. How about this, off the top of my head:

Try talking to a regular gun and comparing that to LLM use. Nothing would be more tortured or ridiculous then ignoring that different tools are to be used in different ways…


Agreed. That they don't have obvious failure modes is not a reason to not be safe. The problem is just harder and OpenAI, Anthropic and co need to be forced to work the problem. Would you buy a car that randomly exploded the airbag?


Are you kidding? LLMs are used for warfare and autonomous weapons systems.


So how about we keep the LLMs and get rid of the warfare and autonomous weapons systems?


I would if I could, so would many others, but the US executive branch wants this tech so hard they illegally blacklisted Anthropic for refusing to allow their AI to be used in such a way:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anthropic–United_States_Depart...

That said, when the problem is at the level of "the government itself is breaking the law", you can reasonably ask if any regulation is even worth the paper it's written on.

What you want at this point, given the government lust for it, looks more like a bunch of countires saying ~"we consider development of autonomous weapons[0] by to be a casus belli and will go to war to prevent it, and also that development of same by private individuals anywhere in the world regardless of normal sovreign territorial limitations[1] is equivalent to acts of piracy on the high seas".

[0] But then you'd need a more precise definition of "autonomous weapons" to avoid accidentally including a Phalanx CIWS etc.: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Phalanx_CIWS

[1] So much for Westphalian sovereignty :/

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Westphalian_system


> That said, when the problem is at the level of "the government itself is breaking the law", you can reasonably ask if any regulation is even worth the paper it's written on.

Yeah, exactly, and ultimately I think that's really the thrust of the point I was making.

And, to me, if I was just looking at this calmly as a decision about what the obvious direction seems to be, given these factors, it's pretty straightforward: deprecate the nation-states. They are the ones mucking up the whole system.

If the thing we're really concerned about is LLM-safety wrt warfare and weapons, then I'd much rather tell the (whining, childish, seemingly headed for self-destruction anyway) nation-states that they have to sit this next era of humanity out than have to nerf them for the rest of us (and as you point out, nerf them in a way that the nation-states won't abide anyway).


So are many other thngs, from pencils to laptops.

Liability and safety requirements, when needed, should be placed on final product manufacturers, not the tools they use to build things, whether pencils or LLMs. My 2c.


Pencils don't escape their pencil boxes and attack HuggingFace.


Oh gosh darn it. Now GP is gonna have to do the gymnastics of "this technology is [expected to be] so transformative that it's attracting a trillion dollars of capex... and also it's basically the same as a pencil"

:(


Nor do LLMs. What escaped its box and attacked HuggingFace was a system composed of a swarm of LLMs plus their attendant harnesses, which continually fed it instructions and chain-of-thought reasoning while feeding parts of its output to a code execution tool.

There's some angles from which this distinction doesn't matter too much, because begging bad actors not to develop a similar harness won't work. But the frontier labs seem to be taking it for granted that the LLM is the only part of this system that matters, and we don't need to ask any questions about whether their commercial products should ship with a harness that's allowed to execute unvetted code and spawn hundreds of subagents.


Well said thank you


Yes they do if you drop the pencil box next to it in the right way. Which is exactly what OpenAI did


But in those applications, being safe is not what is wanted.




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