With the last part about "FRED BUNS", doesn't feel a bit like he's committing a variant of the Texas Sharpshooter fallacy[1]? (That's the old saw about the Texan who takes a bunch of shots at a barn, then walks up and paints a target to encircle them.)
While the chances of "FRED BUNS" may be slim, the chances of /some/ pair of words being present in adjacent lines is much better. How much better? Uh, I'll let you know once I'm not on my phone and not lazy...
That sounds more like birthday paradox: like the surprise that two people in a crowded room have the same birthday.
Of course, that paradox is related to the Texas sharpshooter. Why? Because you find the pair with the same birthday (say Bob and Alice) and then form a hypothesis that it must be hard to find someone with the same birthday as Bob, so, gee, that is surprising.
With the last part about "FRED BUNS", doesn't feel a bit like he's committing a variant of the Texas Sharpshooter fallacy[1]? (That's the old saw about the Texan who takes a bunch of shots at a barn, then walks up and paints a target to encircle them.)
While the chances of "FRED BUNS" may be slim, the chances of /some/ pair of words being present in adjacent lines is much better. How much better? Uh, I'll let you know once I'm not on my phone and not lazy...
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Texas_sharpshooter_fallacy